Jong AZ vs Helmond Sport: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)AFAS Trainingscomplex, Wijdewormer
The Footlab AI model makes Jong AZ the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Helmond Sport. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jong AZ vs Helmond Sport?
Jong AZ starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,719 vs 1,597).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jong AZ vs Helmond Sport
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jong AZ
4-2-3-1- 9B. Kovacs
- 8J. Oerip
- 6R. Robbemond
- 11T. de Wit
- 10H. de Wit
- 7Jerolldino Armantrading
- 2J. Zwart
- 3A. Natali
- 5K. Inge
- 4F. Andersen
- 1K. Zeggen
Helmond Sport
4-4-2- 11L. Cicero
- 34T. Essakkati
- 6M. Ludwig
- 44Xander van der Velde
- 7J. van der Sluijs
- 8Pol Llonch
- 4B. Koglin
- 20S. Dekkers
- 43T. Landheer
- 5T. Poll
- 1M. Bergsen
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jong AZ have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Helmond Sport have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 4-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Dordrecht(away) | 6-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Heracles(home) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | MVV(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Den Bosch(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 4, 2026 | VVV Venlo(home) | 4-2 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Jong AZ wins, 0 draws, 4 Helmond Sport wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Jong AZ 2-0 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Helmond Sport 4-2 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Helmond Sport 2-1 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Jong AZ 2-3 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 11, 2024 | Helmond Sport 3-1 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 10, 2023 | Jong AZ 2-1 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Jong AZ vs Helmond Sport on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jong AZ score 2.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Helmond Sport score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong AZ | 2.9 | 1.5 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Helmond Sport | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jong AZ sit 10th in Eerste Divisie (13 points from 9 matches) and Helmond Sport sit 14th (9 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jong AZ | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 13 |
| 14 | Helmond Sport | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 9 |
A question about Jong AZ vs Helmond Sport?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jong AZ vs Helmond Sport?
- The Footlab AI model makes Jong AZ the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Helmond Sport.
- Where and when is Jong AZ vs Helmond Sport played?
- Jong AZ vs Helmond Sport is played on October 23, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at AFAS Trainingscomplex, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.