Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dorking Wanderers: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 33Kick-off on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Focus Community Arena, Hemel Hempstead, Hertfordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Hemel Hempstead Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dorking Wanderers wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,583 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dorking Wanderers?
Dorking Wanderers starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,810 vs 1,674).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dorking Wanderers
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hemel Hempstead Town
4-3-3- 16I. Noel-Williams
- 10Joseph White
- 23Trae Cook
- 7G. Williams
- 12Kyran Wiltshire
- 20Mauro Vilhete
- 3D. Dowrich
- 2Samuel Adenola
- 22Devante Stanley
- 15Mathew Achuba
- 1M. Johnson
Dorking Wanderers
Not enough data to predict the Dorking Wanderers lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 12:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hemel Hempstead Town have 1 win, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Dorking Wanderers have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Torquay(home) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Billericay Town(away) | 0-5 | National League - South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(away) | 3-3 | National League - South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | AFC Totton(home) | 1-3 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(home) | 3-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(home) | 3-3 | National League - South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Slough Town(away) | 3-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dover(away) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hemel Hempstead Town win, 1 draw, 4 Dorking Wanderers wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers 3-3 Hemel Hempstead Town | National League - South |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers 2-1 Hemel Hempstead Town | National League - South |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Hemel Hempstead Town 2-0 Dorking Wanderers | National League - South |
| Nov 25, 2024 | Hemel Hempstead Town 1-7 Dorking Wanderers | National League - South |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Dorking Wanderers 3-2 Hemel Hempstead Town | National League - South |
| Mar 12, 2022 | Dorking Wanderers 2-1 Hemel Hempstead Town | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead Town on Oct 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hemel Hempstead Town score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dorking Wanderers score 2.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hemel Hempstead Town | 0.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Dorking Wanderers | 2.6 | 1.9 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hemel Hempstead Town sit 20th in National League - South (15 points from 17 matches) and Dorking Wanderers sit 6th (27 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Dorking Wanderers | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 23 | 27 |
| 20 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 15 |
A question about Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dorking Wanderers?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dorking Wanderers?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Hemel Hempstead Town.
- Where and when is Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dorking Wanderers played?
- Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dorking Wanderers is played on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Focus Community Arena, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 15, 2027Chelmsford CityvsDover
- Feb 16, 2027Dagenham & RedbridgevsBraintree
- Feb 16, 2027TorquayvsAFC Totton
- Feb 16, 2027Ebbsfleet UnitedvsMaidstone Utd
- Feb 16, 2027Hampton & RichmondvsBillericay Town
- Feb 16, 2027Slough TownvsTruro City
- Feb 16, 2027Weston-super-MarevsFarnborough
- Feb 16, 2027Folkestone InvictavsTonbridge Angels