Where and when is Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dorking Wanderers played?

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dorking Wanderers is played on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Focus Community Arena, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dorking Wanderers: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 33Kick-off on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Focus Community Arena, Hemel Hempstead, Hertfordshire

Hemel Hempstead Town

Dorking Wanderers

The Footlab model makes Hemel Hempstead Town the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Dorking Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dorking Wanderers?

A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Hemel Hempstead Town (1,839) and Dorking Wanderers (1,848).

Hemel Hempstead Town win39 %

Draw27 %

Dorking Wanderers win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hemel Hempstead Town have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Dorking Wanderers have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hemel Hempstead Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Salisbury(away)	2-1	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Maidenhead(home)	0-1	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Farnborough(away)	2-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Chelmsford City(home)	1-1	National League - South
Aug 1, 2026	St Albans City(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

Dorking Wanderers
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Maidstone Utd(home)	2-3	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	AFC Totton(away)	3-0	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Maidenhead(away)	0-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Dagenham & Redbridge(home)	0-1	National League - South
Jul 28, 2026	Dulwich Hamlet(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hemel Hempstead Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Dorking Wanderers win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 28, 2026	Dorking Wanderers 2-1 Hemel Hempstead Town	National League - South
Aug 23, 2025	Hemel Hempstead Town 2-0 Dorking Wanderers	National League - South
Nov 25, 2024	Hemel Hempstead Town 1-7 Dorking Wanderers	National League - South
Oct 12, 2024	Dorking Wanderers 3-2 Hemel Hempstead Town	National League - South
Mar 12, 2022	Dorking Wanderers 2-1 Hemel Hempstead Town	National League - South
Nov 6, 2021	Hemel Hempstead Town 2-2 Dorking Wanderers	National League - South

Last archived meeting: Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead Town on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hemel Hempstead Town score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dorking Wanderers score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hemel Hempstead Town	1.1	0.9	4	8/15	6/15
Dorking Wanderers	1.1	1.7	3	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hemel Hempstead Town sit 6th in National League - South (7 points from 4 matches) and Dorking Wanderers sit 16th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Hemel Hempstead Town	4	2	1	1	5	3	7
16	Dorking Wanderers	4	1	1	2	5	4	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dorking Wanderers?: The Footlab model makes Hemel Hempstead Town the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Dorking Wanderers.
Where and when is Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dorking Wanderers played?: Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dorking Wanderers is played on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Focus Community Arena, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.