Match

Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead Town: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 14Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Meadowbank Stadium, Dorking, Surrey

Dorking WanderersHemel Hempstead Town

The Footlab model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Hemel Hempstead Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Dorking Wanderers (1,848) and Hemel Hempstead Town (1,839).

Dorking Wanderers win44 %
Draw27 %
Hemel Hempstead Town win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dorking Wanderers have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Hemel Hempstead Town have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Dorking Wanderers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Maidstone Utd(home)2-3National League - South
Aug 18, 2026AFC Totton(away)3-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Maidenhead(away)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Dagenham & Redbridge(home)0-1National League - South
Jul 28, 2026Dulwich Hamlet(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Hemel Hempstead Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Salisbury(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Maidenhead(home)0-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Farnborough(away)2-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Chelmsford City(home)1-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026St Albans City(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Dorking Wanderers win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Hemel Hempstead Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 28, 2026Dorking Wanderers 2-1 Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South
Aug 23, 2025Hemel Hempstead Town 2-0 Dorking WanderersNational League - South
Nov 25, 2024Hemel Hempstead Town 1-7 Dorking WanderersNational League - South
Oct 12, 2024Dorking Wanderers 3-2 Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South
Mar 12, 2022Dorking Wanderers 2-1 Hemel Hempstead TownNational League - South
Nov 6, 2021Hemel Hempstead Town 2-2 Dorking WanderersNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead Town on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Dorking Wanderers score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hemel Hempstead Town score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Dorking Wanderers1.11.738/159/15
Hemel Hempstead Town1.10.948/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Dorking Wanderers sit 16th in National League - South (4 points from 4 matches) and Hemel Hempstead Town sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Hemel Hempstead Town4211537
16Dorking Wanderers4112544

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
The Footlab model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Hemel Hempstead Town.
Where and when is Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead Town played?
Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead Town is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Meadowbank Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Dorking Wanderers and Hemel Hempstead Town

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