Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead Town: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 14Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Meadowbank Stadium, Dorking, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Hemel Hempstead Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Dorking Wanderers (1,848) and Hemel Hempstead Town (1,839).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dorking Wanderers have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Hemel Hempstead Town have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 2-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Totton(away) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maidenhead(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Salisbury(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Maidenhead(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chelmsford City(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Dorking Wanderers win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Hemel Hempstead Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers 2-1 Hemel Hempstead Town | National League - South |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Hemel Hempstead Town 2-0 Dorking Wanderers | National League - South |
| Nov 25, 2024 | Hemel Hempstead Town 1-7 Dorking Wanderers | National League - South |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Dorking Wanderers 3-2 Hemel Hempstead Town | National League - South |
| Mar 12, 2022 | Dorking Wanderers 2-1 Hemel Hempstead Town | National League - South |
| Nov 6, 2021 | Hemel Hempstead Town 2-2 Dorking Wanderers | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead Town on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dorking Wanderers score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hemel Hempstead Town score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorking Wanderers | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | 1.1 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dorking Wanderers sit 16th in National League - South (4 points from 4 matches) and Hemel Hempstead Town sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 16 | Dorking Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
- The Footlab model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Hemel Hempstead Town.
- Where and when is Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead Town played?
- Dorking Wanderers vs Hemel Hempstead Town is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Meadowbank Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Oct 27, 2026DovervsChelmsford City
- Oct 27, 2026BraintreevsDagenham & Redbridge
- Oct 27, 2026MaidenheadvsHorsham
- Oct 27, 2026Billericay TownvsHampton & Richmond
- Oct 27, 2026Truro CityvsSlough Town
- Oct 27, 2026Chesham UnitedvsFarnham Town
- Oct 27, 2026AFC TottonvsTorquay