Where and when is Hemel Hempstead Town vs Truro City played?

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Truro City is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Focus Community Arena, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Truro City: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 30Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Focus Community Arena, Hemel Hempstead, Hertfordshire

Hemel Hempstead Town

Truro City

The Footlab model makes Hemel Hempstead Town the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Truro City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hemel Hempstead Town vs Truro City?

A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Hemel Hempstead Town (1,872) and Truro City (1,782).

Hemel Hempstead Town win54 %

Draw24 %

Truro City win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hemel Hempstead Town have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Truro City have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hemel Hempstead Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Salisbury(away)	2-1	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Maidenhead(home)	0-1	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Farnborough(away)	2-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Chelmsford City(home)	1-1	National League - South
Aug 1, 2026	St Albans City(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

Truro City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Tonbridge Angels(away)	2-0	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Southampton U21(home)	2-1	National League Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Chelmsford City(away)	0-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Maidenhead(home)	2-0	National League - South
Jul 25, 2026	Plymouth(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Hemel Hempstead Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Truro City win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 25, 2025	Hemel Hempstead Town 3-0 Truro City	National League - South
Oct 5, 2024	Truro City 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town	National League - South
Apr 4, 2024	Truro City 0-2 Hemel Hempstead Town	National League - South
Sep 2, 2023	Hemel Hempstead Town 0-0 Truro City	National League - South
Nov 29, 2014	Truro City 1-2 Hemel Hempstead Town	FA Trophy

Last archived meeting: Hemel Hempstead Town vs Truro City on Jan 25, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Hemel Hempstead Town score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Truro City score 1.0 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hemel Hempstead Town	1.1	0.9	4	8/15	6/15
Truro City	1.0	0.6	7	4/15	3/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hemel Hempstead Town sit 6th in National League - South (7 points from 4 matches) and Truro City sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Truro City	3	2	1	0	4	0	7
6	Hemel Hempstead Town	4	2	1	1	5	3	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Truro City?: The Footlab model makes Hemel Hempstead Town the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Truro City.
Where and when is Hemel Hempstead Town vs Truro City played?: Hemel Hempstead Town vs Truro City is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Focus Community Arena, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.