Ebbsfleet United vs Dorking Wanderers: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 30Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kuflink Stadium, Northfleet, Kent
The Footlab AI model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Dorking Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ebbsfleet United wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,024 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ebbsfleet United vs Dorking Wanderers?
On Elo ratings, Ebbsfleet United has 1,958 points and Dorking Wanderers 1,956.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ebbsfleet United vs Dorking Wanderers
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ebbsfleet United
4-3-3- 9A. Cosgrave
- 14D. Samuel
- 17L. Peake
- 22B. Chapman
- 4J. Hessenthaler
- 20M. Manktelow
- 24M. Olagunju
- 12Ronny Nelson
- 7J. Passley
- 6T. Dallison-Lisbon
- 13G. Bellagambi
Dorking Wanderers
Not enough data to predict the Dorking Wanderers lineup.
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 07:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ebbsfleet United have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Dorking Wanderers have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Horsham(home) | 2-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(home) | 6-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 13, 2026 | AFC Totton(home) | 5-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dover(away) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dover(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Chatham Town(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Braintree(home) | 4-3 | National League - South |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Southall(home) | 5-4 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ebbsfleet United wins, 1 draw, 3 Dorking Wanderers wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers 3-1 Ebbsfleet United | National League - South |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Ebbsfleet United 2-1 Dorking Wanderers | National League - South |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Dorking Wanderers 1-4 Ebbsfleet United | National League |
| Sep 26, 2023 | Ebbsfleet United 0-1 Dorking Wanderers | National League |
| Mar 26, 2022 | Ebbsfleet United 1-1 Dorking Wanderers | National League - South |
| Jan 22, 2022 | Dorking Wanderers 5-1 Ebbsfleet United | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Dorking Wanderers vs Ebbsfleet United on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ebbsfleet United score 2.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Dorking Wanderers score 2.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebbsfleet United | 2.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Dorking Wanderers | 2.2 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ebbsfleet United sit 2nd in National League - South (22 points from 10 matches) and Dorking Wanderers sit 10th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ebbsfleet United | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 6 | 22 |
| 10 | Dorking Wanderers | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 17 |
A question about Ebbsfleet United vs Dorking Wanderers?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ebbsfleet United vs Dorking Wanderers?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Dorking Wanderers.
- Where and when is Ebbsfleet United vs Dorking Wanderers played?
- Ebbsfleet United vs Dorking Wanderers is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kuflink Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 30, 2027Dagenham & RedbridgevsAFC Totton
- Jan 30, 2027TorquayvsBraintree
- Jan 30, 2027Hampton & RichmondvsChesham United
- Jan 30, 2027Slough TownvsBillericay Town
- Jan 30, 2027Weston-super-MarevsTonbridge Angels
- Jan 30, 2027Chelmsford CityvsWalton & Hersham
- Jan 30, 2027Folkestone InvictavsMaidenhead
- Jan 30, 2027HorshamvsDover