Where and when is Ebbsfleet United vs Dorking Wanderers played?

Ebbsfleet United vs Dorking Wanderers is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kuflink Stadium, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ebbsfleet United vs Dorking Wanderers: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 30Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kuflink Stadium, Northfleet, Kent

Ebbsfleet United

Dorking Wanderers

The Footlab model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Dorking Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ebbsfleet United vs Dorking Wanderers?

A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Ebbsfleet United (1,817) and Dorking Wanderers (1,848).

Ebbsfleet United win49 %

Draw24 %

Dorking Wanderers win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ebbsfleet United have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Dorking Wanderers have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ebbsfleet United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jul 31, 2026	Gillingham(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026	Cray Valley PM(away)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026	West Ham United U21(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 7, 2026	Dartford(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026	Worthing(away)	0-2	National League - South

Dorking Wanderers
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Maidstone Utd(home)	2-3	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	AFC Totton(away)	3-0	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Maidenhead(away)	0-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Dagenham & Redbridge(home)	0-1	National League - South
Jul 28, 2026	Dulwich Hamlet(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ebbsfleet United win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Dorking Wanderers win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 14, 2026	Dorking Wanderers 3-1 Ebbsfleet United	National League - South
Oct 18, 2025	Ebbsfleet United 2-1 Dorking Wanderers	National League - South
Feb 24, 2024	Dorking Wanderers 1-4 Ebbsfleet United	National League
Sep 26, 2023	Ebbsfleet United 0-1 Dorking Wanderers	National League
Mar 26, 2022	Ebbsfleet United 1-1 Dorking Wanderers	National League - South
Jan 22, 2022	Dorking Wanderers 5-1 Ebbsfleet United	National League - South

Last archived meeting: Dorking Wanderers vs Ebbsfleet United on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ebbsfleet United score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dorking Wanderers score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ebbsfleet United	1.9	1.5	3	10/15	13/15
Dorking Wanderers	1.1	1.7	3	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
16	Dorking Wanderers	4	1	1	2	5	4	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ebbsfleet United vs Dorking Wanderers?: The Footlab model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Dorking Wanderers.
Where and when is Ebbsfleet United vs Dorking Wanderers played?: Ebbsfleet United vs Dorking Wanderers is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kuflink Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.