Weston-super-Mare vs Tonbridge Angels: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 30Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Optima Stadium, Weston-super-Mare, Somerset
The Footlab model makes Weston-super-Mare the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Tonbridge Angels. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Weston-super-Mare vs Tonbridge Angels?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Weston-super-Mare (1,834) and Tonbridge Angels (1,775).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Weston-super-Mare have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Tonbridge Angels have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dover(home) | 2-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Torquay(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(home) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chesham United(home) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Gloucester City(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Truro City(home) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Dover(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Torquay(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 4-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Weston-super-Mare win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Tonbridge Angels win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare 0-1 Tonbridge Angels | National League - South |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Tonbridge Angels 0-0 Weston-super-Mare | National League - South |
| Apr 15, 2025 | Weston-super-Mare 3-0 Tonbridge Angels | National League - South |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Tonbridge Angels 2-0 Weston-super-Mare | National League - South |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Weston-super-Mare 3-1 Tonbridge Angels | National League - South |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Tonbridge Angels 0-1 Weston-super-Mare | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Weston-super-Mare vs Tonbridge Angels on Mar 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Weston-super-Mare score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tonbridge Angels score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weston-super-Mare | 1.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Tonbridge Angels | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Weston-super-Mare sit 3rd in National League - South (7 points from 4 matches) and Tonbridge Angels sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Weston-super-Mare | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Tonbridge Angels | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Weston-super-Mare vs Tonbridge Angels?
- The Footlab model makes Weston-super-Mare the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Tonbridge Angels.
- Where and when is Weston-super-Mare vs Tonbridge Angels played?
- Weston-super-Mare vs Tonbridge Angels is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Optima Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 30, 2027Dagenham & RedbridgevsAFC Totton
- Jan 30, 2027TorquayvsBraintree
- Jan 30, 2027Ebbsfleet UnitedvsDorking Wanderers
- Jan 30, 2027Hampton & RichmondvsChesham United
- Jan 30, 2027Slough TownvsBillericay Town
- Jan 30, 2027Chelmsford CityvsWalton & Hersham
- Jan 30, 2027Folkestone InvictavsMaidenhead
- Jan 30, 2027HorshamvsDover