Hampton & Richmond vs Chesham United: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 30Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Beveree Stadium, Hampton, Middlesex
The Footlab model makes Chesham United the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Hampton & Richmond. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hampton & Richmond vs Chesham United?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Hampton & Richmond (1,714) and Chesham United (1,792).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hampton & Richmond have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Chesham United have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slough Town(home) | 5-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Horsham(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 0-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Salisbury(away) | 0-5 | National League - South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Enfield Town(home) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 2-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 0-3 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Hampton & Richmond win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Chesham United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond 0-1 Chesham United | National League - South |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Chesham United 1-2 Hampton & Richmond | National League - South |
| Feb 25, 2025 | Hampton & Richmond 0-1 Chesham United | National League - South |
| Nov 26, 2024 | Chesham United 2-1 Hampton & Richmond | National League - South |
| Sep 21, 2019 | Chesham United 1-2 Hampton & Richmond | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Hampton & Richmond vs Chesham United on Jan 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hampton & Richmond score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chesham United score 1.8 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hampton & Richmond | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Chesham United | 1.8 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hampton & Richmond sit 21st in National League - South (3 points from 4 matches) and Chesham United sit 18th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Chesham United | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 21 | Hampton & Richmond | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hampton & Richmond vs Chesham United?
- The Footlab model makes Chesham United the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Hampton & Richmond.
- Where and when is Hampton & Richmond vs Chesham United played?
- Hampton & Richmond vs Chesham United is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Beveree Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 30, 2027Dagenham & RedbridgevsAFC Totton
- Jan 30, 2027TorquayvsBraintree
- Jan 30, 2027Ebbsfleet UnitedvsDorking Wanderers
- Jan 30, 2027Slough TownvsBillericay Town
- Jan 30, 2027Weston-super-MarevsTonbridge Angels
- Jan 30, 2027Chelmsford CityvsWalton & Hersham
- Jan 30, 2027Folkestone InvictavsMaidenhead
- Jan 30, 2027HorshamvsDover