Match

Torquay vs Braintree: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 30Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Plainmoor Ground, Torquay, Devon

TorquayBraintree

The Footlab model makes Torquay the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Braintree. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Torquay vs Braintree?

Torquay starts as the favourite with a 235-point Elo edge (1,876 vs 1,641).

Torquay win67 %
Draw19 %
Braintree win13 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torquay have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Braintree have 2, 3 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Torquay
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dagenham & Redbridge(away)0-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Weston-super-Mare(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Tonbridge Angels(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Horsham(home)1-1National League - South
Jul 31, 2026Exeter City(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Braintree
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Horsham(home)1-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Ipswich Town U21(home)1-1National League Cup
Aug 15, 2026Chesham United(home)3-2National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Tonbridge Angels(home)0-4National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Aldershot Town(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Torquay win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Braintree win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 17, 2024Braintree 1-0 TorquayNational League - South
Aug 28, 2023Torquay 2-1 BraintreeNational League - South
Apr 17, 2017Torquay 3-1 BraintreeNational League
Dec 10, 2016Braintree 2-0 TorquayFA Trophy
Aug 29, 2016Braintree 1-3 TorquayNational League
Mar 8, 2016Torquay 0-0 BraintreeNational League

Last archived meeting: Braintree vs Torquay on Feb 17, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Torquay score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Braintree score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Torquay2.21.1310/1511/15
Braintree1.52.3212/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Torquay sit 13th in National League - South (5 points from 4 matches) and Braintree sit 20th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Torquay4121345
20Braintree3102483

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Torquay vs Braintree?
The Footlab model makes Torquay the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Braintree.
Where and when is Torquay vs Braintree played?
Torquay vs Braintree is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Plainmoor Ground, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Torquay and Braintree

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