Heracles vs Almere City FC: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 36Kick-off on April 30, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Erve Asito, Almelo
The Footlab model makes Heracles the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Almere City FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Heracles vs Almere City FC?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Heracles (1,790) and Almere City FC (1,781).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heracles have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Almere City FC have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(away) | 6-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Den Bosch(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 4-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 3-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Vitesse(away) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Den Bosch(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Emmen(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 8-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Heracles win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Almere City FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025 | Almere City FC 0-2 Heracles | Eredivisie |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Heracles 0-0 Almere City FC | Eredivisie |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Heracles 2-2 Almere City FC | Eredivisie |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Almere City FC 0-5 Heracles | Eredivisie |
| Mar 31, 2023 | Heracles 1-1 Almere City FC | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 28, 2022 | Almere City FC 3-2 Heracles | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Almere City FC vs Heracles on Jan 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Heracles score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Almere City FC score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heracles | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Almere City FC | 2.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Heracles sit 1st in Eerste Divisie (9 points from 3 matches) and Almere City FC sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 9 |
| 1 | Heracles | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 9 |
| 4 | Almere City FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Almere City FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Heracles vs Almere City FC?
- The Footlab model makes Heracles the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Almere City FC.
- Where and when is Heracles vs Almere City FC played?
- Heracles vs Almere City FC is played on April 30, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Erve Asito, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.