Heracles vs Almere City FC: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieMatchday 36Kick-off on April 30, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Erve Asito, Almelo
The Footlab AI model makes Heracles the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Almere City FC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Heracles wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,490 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Heracles vs Almere City FC?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Heracles (1,918) and Almere City FC (1,894).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Heracles vs Almere City FC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Heracles
4-2-3-1- 27J. N'djoli
- 7C. Abbas
- 5D. van der Kust
- 32S. Scheperman
- 17T. van Gilst
- 18M. Hauswirth
- 4D. Mirani
- 25Manny
- 15David Vicente
- 14M. Wrusch
- 1F. de Keijzer
Almere City FC
4-2-3-1- 9F. Druijf
- 6E. Cornelisse
- 17E. Poku
- 14M. Hoedemakers
- 21H. El Dahri
- 23J. Ritmeester van de Kamp
- 3J. Jacobs
- 2M. Wasinski
- 5T. Bijleveld
- 4J. Lawrence
- 1Wessel Speel
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 07:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heracles have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Almere City FC have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Roda(home) | 5-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 2, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 29, 2026 | De Treffers(away) | 0-1 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 23, 2026 | NAC Breda(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 18, 2026 | MVV(away) | 5-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Jong AZ(away) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Waalwijk(away) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Telstar(away) | 2-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Roda(home) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Emmen(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Heracles wins, 3 draws, 1 Almere City FC win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Almere City FC 1-0 Heracles | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Almere City FC 0-2 Heracles | Eredivisie |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Heracles 0-0 Almere City FC | Eredivisie |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Heracles 2-2 Almere City FC | Eredivisie |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Almere City FC 0-5 Heracles | Eredivisie |
| Mar 31, 2023 | Heracles 1-1 Almere City FC | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Almere City FC vs Heracles on Sep 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Heracles score 2.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Almere City FC score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heracles | 2.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Almere City FC | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Heracles sit 1st in Eerste Divisie (35 points from 14 matches) and Almere City FC sit 3rd (28 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 44 | 15 | 35 |
| 3 | Almere City FC | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 14 | 28 |
A question about Heracles vs Almere City FC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Heracles vs Almere City FC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Heracles the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Almere City FC.
- Where and when is Heracles vs Almere City FC played?
- Heracles vs Almere City FC is played on April 30, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Erve Asito, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.