VVV Venlo vs Helmond Sport: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 36Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Covebo Stadion - De Koel -, Venlo
The Footlab model makes VVV Venlo the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Helmond Sport. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VVV Venlo vs Helmond Sport?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate VVV Venlo (1,645) and Helmond Sport (1,582).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VVV Venlo have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Helmond Sport have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | De Graafschap(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | NAC Breda(away) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Heracles(home) | 3-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fortuna Köln(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Roda(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | De Graafschap(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Gemert(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 VVV Venlo win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Helmond Sport win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Helmond Sport 2-0 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2025 | VVV Venlo 2-1 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 13, 2025 | VVV Venlo 4-1 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Helmond Sport 3-0 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 1, 2024 | Helmond Sport 1-1 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 1, 2023 | VVV Venlo 0-4 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
VVV Venlo score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Helmond Sport score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV Venlo | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Helmond Sport | 0.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VVV Venlo sit 5th in Eerste Divisie (6 points from 3 matches) and Helmond Sport sit 16th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | VVV Venlo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | VVV Venlo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 16 | Helmond Sport | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 16 | Helmond Sport | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VVV Venlo vs Helmond Sport?
- The Footlab model makes VVV Venlo the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Helmond Sport.
- Where and when is VVV Venlo vs Helmond Sport played?
- VVV Venlo vs Helmond Sport is played on May 1, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Covebo Stadion - De Koel -, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.