NAC Breda vs Waalwijk: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 36Kick-off on April 30, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda
The Footlab AI model makes NAC Breda the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Waalwijk. The most likely score is 1-1. If NAC Breda wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,796 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NAC Breda vs Waalwijk?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate NAC Breda (1,775) and Waalwijk (1,739).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for NAC Breda vs Waalwijk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
NAC Breda
4-2-3-1- 9M. Soumano
- 78J. Van Hecke
- 6M. Balard
- 10M. Nassoh
- 28C. Brym
- 14K. Sowah
- 12J. Van den Bergh
- 22R. Hillen
- 2B. Lucassen
- 4L. Greiml
- 1M. Verrips
Waalwijk
4-2-3-1- 9J. van de Haar
- 7R. Fage
- 6L. Postma
- 93V. Misidjan
- 8J. Nap
- 22T. van de Loo
- 30J. de Wijs
- 4L. van Gelderen
- 33F. Al Mazyani
- 5Juan Carlos Familia-Castillo
- 1N. Schiks
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 10:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NAC Breda have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Waalwijk have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | MVV(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Vitesse(away) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 4-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Emmen(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Roda(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | MVV(home) | 6-1 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 NAC Breda wins, 0 draws, 4 Waalwijk wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | Waalwijk 4-2 NAC Breda | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Waalwijk 5-0 NAC Breda | Eredivisie |
| Oct 26, 2024 | NAC Breda 4-1 Waalwijk | Eredivisie |
| Jul 19, 2023 | NAC Breda 2-3 Waalwijk | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 18, 2020 | Waalwijk 0-2 NAC Breda | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 25, 2018 | Waalwijk 2-0 NAC Breda | KNVB Beker |
How many goals should we expect?
NAC Breda score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Waalwijk score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAC Breda | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Waalwijk | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NAC Breda sit 5th in Eerste Divisie (20 points from 11 matches) and Waalwijk sit 10th (15 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | NAC Breda | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 19 | 20 |
| 10 | Waalwijk | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 16 | 15 |
A question about NAC Breda vs Waalwijk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NAC Breda vs Waalwijk?
- The Footlab AI model makes NAC Breda the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Waalwijk.
- Where and when is NAC Breda vs Waalwijk played?
- NAC Breda vs Waalwijk is played on April 30, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Rat Verlegh Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.