Heracles vs Dordrecht: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 7, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Erve Asito, Almelo
The Footlab AI model makes Heracles the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Dordrecht. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Heracles vs Dordrecht?
Heracles starts as the favourite with a 221-point Elo edge (1,826 vs 1,604).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Heracles vs Dordrecht
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Heracles
4-2-3-1- 27J. N'djoli
- 7C. Abbas
- 32S. Scheperman
- 17T. van Gilst
- 18M. Hauswirth
- 5D. van der Kust
- 4D. Mirani
- 25Manny
- 14M. Wrusch
- 15David Vicente
- 1F. de Keijzer
Dordrecht
4-2-3-1- 77D. Šits
- 21M. Vetkal
- 11N. Rossi
- 6L. Riccio
- 8Senne Vugts
- 10A. Ouarghi
- 4J. Pinas
- 3S. Henderikx
- 5C. Mpanzu
- 22J. van Aken
- 28T. Coremans
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heracles have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Dordrecht have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Vitesse(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Almere City FC(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Jong AZ(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Emmen(home) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Den Bosch(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FC OSS(away) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Heracles wins, 1 draw, 0 Dordrecht wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2023 | Dordrecht 1-3 Heracles | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 16, 2022 | Heracles 8-1 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 18, 2019 | Heracles 3-0 Dordrecht | KNVB Beker |
| Apr 4, 2015 | Dordrecht 2-3 Heracles | Eredivisie |
| Dec 12, 2014 | Heracles 1-1 Dordrecht | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Heracles score 2.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Dordrecht score 1.6 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heracles | 2.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Dordrecht | 1.6 | 2.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Heracles sit 1st in Eerste Divisie (25 points from 10 matches) and Dordrecht sit 19th (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 12 | 25 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 27 | 8 |
A question about Heracles vs Dordrecht?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Heracles vs Dordrecht?
- The Footlab AI model makes Heracles the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Dordrecht.
- Where and when is Heracles vs Dordrecht played?
- Heracles vs Dordrecht is played on May 7, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Erve Asito, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.