FC OSS vs De Graafschap: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 36Kick-off on April 30, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Frans Heesen Stadion, Oss
The Footlab model makes De Graafschap the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for FC OSS. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC OSS vs De Graafschap?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate FC OSS (1,631) and De Graafschap (1,716).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC OSS have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; De Graafschap have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Volendam(away) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Genk(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Almere City FC(away) | 4-8 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | SG Wattenscheid 09(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Jong AZ(home) | 2-5 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kifisia(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 FC OSS win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 De Graafschap win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | FC OSS 2-3 De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 18, 2025 | De Graafschap 1-1 FC OSS | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 16, 2025 | FC OSS 0-2 De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 22, 2024 | De Graafschap 4-0 FC OSS | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 29, 2024 | De Graafschap 4-1 FC OSS | KNVB Beker |
| Mar 1, 2024 | De Graafschap 2-1 FC OSS | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: FC OSS vs De Graafschap on Dec 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
FC OSS score 1.9 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; De Graafschap score 2.1 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC OSS | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| De Graafschap | 2.1 | 2.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC OSS sit 19th in Eerste Divisie (0 points from 2 matches) and De Graafschap sit 17th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | De Graafschap | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| 17 | De Graafschap | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| 19 | FC OSS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 | FC OSS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC OSS vs De Graafschap?
- The Footlab model makes De Graafschap the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for FC OSS.
- Where and when is FC OSS vs De Graafschap played?
- FC OSS vs De Graafschap is played on April 30, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Frans Heesen Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.