Heracles vs Jong Utrecht: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 28Kick-off on February 26, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Erve Asito, Almelo
The Footlab AI model makes Heracles the favourite at 76%, against 15% for a draw and 9% for Jong Utrecht. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,370 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Heracles vs Jong Utrecht?
Heracles starts as the favourite with a 265-point Elo edge (1,816 vs 1,550).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Heracles vs Jong Utrecht
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Heracles
4-2-3-1- 27J. N'djoli
- 7C. Abbas
- 32S. Scheperman
- 17T. van Gilst
- 18M. Hauswirth
- 5D. van der Kust
- 4D. Mirani
- 25Manny
- 14M. Wrusch
- 15David Vicente
- 1F. de Keijzer
Jong Utrecht
4-3-3- 10Massien Ghaddari
- 11E. C. Owen
- 7Bjorn Menzo
- 9N. Dundas
- 6F. Pohl
- 18D. Laaouina
- 5Viggo Plantinga
- 3J. Schuldes
- 14W. Kooy
- 2Yousri Sbai
- 1M. Eppink
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 06:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heracles have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Jong Utrecht have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Vitesse(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Almere City FC(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Jong AZ(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | VVV Venlo(home) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Jong Ajax(home) | 6-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | NAC Breda(away) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 7, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 0-0 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Heracles wins, 0 draws, 0 Jong Utrecht wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Jong Utrecht 1-6 Heracles | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 3, 2023 | Heracles 6-1 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2022 | Jong Utrecht 0-3 Heracles | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 2, 2020 | Heracles 4-0 Jong Utrecht | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Jong Utrecht vs Heracles on Aug 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Heracles score 2.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Jong Utrecht score 1.6 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heracles | 2.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Jong Utrecht | 1.6 | 2.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Heracles sit 1st in Eerste Divisie (25 points from 10 matches) and Jong Utrecht sit 20th (7 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 12 | 25 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 23 | 7 |
A question about Heracles vs Jong Utrecht?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Heracles vs Jong Utrecht?
- The Footlab AI model makes Heracles the favourite at 76%, against 15% for a draw and 9% for Jong Utrecht.
- Where and when is Heracles vs Jong Utrecht played?
- Heracles vs Jong Utrecht is played on February 26, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Erve Asito, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.