Heracles vs Jong Utrecht: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 28Kick-off on February 26, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Erve Asito, Almelo
The Footlab model makes Heracles the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Jong Utrecht. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Heracles vs Jong Utrecht?
Heracles starts as the favourite with a 232-point Elo edge (1,790 vs 1,558).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heracles have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Jong Utrecht have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(away) | 6-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Den Bosch(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 4-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 3-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Heracles(home) | 1-6 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Vitesse(home) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | MVV(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund II(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Heracles win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Jong Utrecht win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Jong Utrecht 1-6 Heracles | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 3, 2023 | Heracles 6-1 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2022 | Jong Utrecht 0-3 Heracles | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 2, 2020 | Heracles 4-0 Jong Utrecht | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Jong Utrecht vs Heracles on Aug 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Heracles score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Jong Utrecht score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heracles | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Jong Utrecht | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Heracles sit 1st in Eerste Divisie (9 points from 3 matches) and Jong Utrecht sit 20th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 9 |
| 1 | Heracles | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 9 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Heracles vs Jong Utrecht?
- The Footlab model makes Heracles the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Jong Utrecht.
- Where and when is Heracles vs Jong Utrecht played?
- Heracles vs Jong Utrecht is played on February 26, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Erve Asito, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.