De Graafschap vs Jong Ajax: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 28Kick-off on February 26, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stadion De Vijverberg, Doetinchem
The Footlab AI model makes De Graafschap the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Jong Ajax. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,395 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win De Graafschap vs Jong Ajax?
De Graafschap starts as the favourite with a 165-point Elo edge (1,680 vs 1,515).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for De Graafschap vs Jong Ajax
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
De Graafschap
4-2-3-1- 9J. Kania
- 8D. Warmerdam
- 21K. Symons
- 10F. de Jong
- 7Bjorn van Zijl
- 23M. Diemers
- 3R. Besselink
- 16N. Martens
- 2J. Wieckhoff
- 15T. Kok
- 1T. Wieggers
Jong Ajax
4-3-3- 9E. Ünüvar
- 11P. Nash
- 7Leo Salazar
- 8Mohamed Abdalla
- 10Alejandro Monserrate
- 6M. Verkuijl
- 4M. Muzungu
- 2R. van de Pavert
- 5Sinclair de Falco
- 3G. Spina
- 1C. Setford
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, De Graafschap have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Jong Ajax have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Den Bosch(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Emmen(away) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | VVV Venlo(home) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Roda(home) | 0-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(away) | 1-6 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Almere City FC(away) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 De Graafschap wins, 1 draw, 2 Jong Ajax wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2026 | De Graafschap 4-0 Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Jong Ajax 2-2 De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 19, 2025 | De Graafschap 2-0 Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 9, 2024 | Jong Ajax 2-0 De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 11, 2024 | De Graafschap 0-2 Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 21, 2023 | Jong Ajax 1-2 De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: De Graafschap vs Jong Ajax on Feb 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
De Graafschap score 1.6 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 15; Jong Ajax score 1.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De Graafschap | 1.6 | 3.0 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Jong Ajax | 1.1 | 2.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
De Graafschap sit 16th in Eerste Divisie (11 points from 10 matches) and Jong Ajax sit 18th (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | De Graafschap | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 11 |
| 18 | Jong Ajax | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 8 |
A question about De Graafschap vs Jong Ajax?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for De Graafschap vs Jong Ajax?
- The Footlab AI model makes De Graafschap the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Jong Ajax.
- Where and when is De Graafschap vs Jong Ajax played?
- De Graafschap vs Jong Ajax is played on February 26, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion De Vijverberg, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.