FC Eindhoven vs Jong Utrecht: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 29Kick-off on March 5, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Jan Louwers Stadion, Eindhoven
The Footlab model makes FC Eindhoven the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Jong Utrecht. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Eindhoven vs Jong Utrecht?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate FC Eindhoven (1,633) and Jong Utrecht (1,584).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Eindhoven have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Jong Utrecht have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Den Bosch(away) | 2-5 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | MVV(home) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Jong AZ(away) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SK Beveren(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Vitesse(home) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | MVV(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund II(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Jong Ajax(away) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 FC Eindhoven win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Jong Utrecht win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Jong Utrecht 3-0 FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2025 | FC Eindhoven 1-0 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 23, 2025 | FC Eindhoven 1-2 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 9, 2024 | Jong Utrecht 0-4 FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 11, 2024 | FC Eindhoven 3-0 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 15, 2023 | Jong Utrecht 2-5 FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Jong Utrecht vs FC Eindhoven on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Eindhoven score 1.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Jong Utrecht score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Eindhoven | 1.1 | 2.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Jong Utrecht | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Eindhoven sit 15th in Eerste Divisie (3 points from 3 matches) and Jong Utrecht sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | FC Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 15 | FC Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 18 | Jong Utrecht | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 | Jong Utrecht | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Eindhoven vs Jong Utrecht?
- The Footlab model makes FC Eindhoven the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Jong Utrecht.
- Where and when is FC Eindhoven vs Jong Utrecht played?
- FC Eindhoven vs Jong Utrecht is played on March 5, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Jan Louwers Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.