Waalwijk vs Helmond Sport: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieMatchday 28Kick-off on February 26, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Mandemakers Stadion, Waalwijk
The Footlab AI model makes Waalwijk the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Helmond Sport. The most likely score is 1-1. If Waalwijk wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,715 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Waalwijk vs Helmond Sport?
Waalwijk starts as the favourite with a 177-point Elo edge (1,806 vs 1,628).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Waalwijk vs Helmond Sport
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Waalwijk
4-1-3-2- 9J. van de Haar
- 27F. Stokkers
- 93V. Misidjan
- 22T. van de Loo
- 11Yorem van der Veen
- 6L. Postma
- 4L. van Gelderen
- 30J. de Wijs
- 33F. Al Mazyani
- 5Juan Carlos Familia-Castillo
- 1N. Schiks
Helmond Sport
4-4-2- 34T. Essakkati
- 9L. Bajrami
- 6M. Ludwig
- 44Xander van der Velde
- 10D. Huiberts
- 94Mauro Lenaerts
- 4B. Koglin
- 5T. Poll
- 14Lovro Golič
- 20S. Dekkers
- 1M. Bergsen
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 03:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Waalwijk have 3 wins, 9 draws and 3 defeats; Helmond Sport have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | FC OSS(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Barendrecht(away) | 2-2 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 23, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 18, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 30, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 3-4 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Jong AZ(away) | 4-5 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 16, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Waalwijk wins, 4 draws, 0 Helmond Sport wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Helmond Sport 1-1 Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Helmond Sport 2-2 Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Waalwijk 1-1 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 22, 2019 | Waalwijk 2-1 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 17, 2018 | Helmond Sport 0-2 Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 28, 2018 | Helmond Sport 2-2 Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Helmond Sport vs Waalwijk on Aug 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Waalwijk score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Helmond Sport score 1.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waalwijk | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 7/15 |
| Helmond Sport | 1.9 | 2.3 | 0 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Waalwijk sit 11th in Eerste Divisie (17 points from 14 matches) and Helmond Sport sit 17th (12 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Waalwijk | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 23 | 20 | 17 |
| 17 | Helmond Sport | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 31 | 12 |
A question about Waalwijk vs Helmond Sport?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Waalwijk vs Helmond Sport?
- The Footlab AI model makes Waalwijk the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Helmond Sport.
- Where and when is Waalwijk vs Helmond Sport played?
- Waalwijk vs Helmond Sport is played on February 26, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Mandemakers Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.