NAC Breda vs Heracles: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda
The Footlab AI model makes Heracles the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for NAC Breda. The most likely score is 1-1. If Heracles wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NAC Breda vs Heracles?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate NAC Breda (1,772) and Heracles (1,826).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for NAC Breda vs Heracles
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
NAC Breda
4-2-3-1- 9M. Soumano
- 78J. Van Hecke
- 6M. Balard
- 10M. Nassoh
- 28C. Brym
- 14K. Sowah
- 12J. Van den Bergh
- 22R. Hillen
- 2B. Lucassen
- 4L. Greiml
- 1M. Verrips
Heracles
4-2-3-1- 27J. N'djoli
- 7C. Abbas
- 32S. Scheperman
- 17T. van Gilst
- 18M. Hauswirth
- 5D. van der Kust
- 4D. Mirani
- 25Manny
- 14M. Wrusch
- 15David Vicente
- 1F. de Keijzer
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NAC Breda have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Heracles have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | MVV(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Vitesse(away) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 4-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Vitesse(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Almere City FC(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Jong AZ(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 NAC Breda wins, 1 draw, 3 Heracles wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Heracles 0-1 NAC Breda | Eredivisie |
| Oct 29, 2025 | NAC Breda 1-4 Heracles | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 20, 2025 | NAC Breda 2-1 Heracles | Eredivisie |
| Jan 31, 2025 | NAC Breda 1-1 Heracles | Eredivisie |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Heracles 2-0 NAC Breda | Eredivisie |
| May 12, 2023 | NAC Breda 0-3 Heracles | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Heracles vs NAC Breda on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
NAC Breda score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Heracles score 2.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAC Breda | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Heracles | 2.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NAC Breda sit 5th in Eerste Divisie (17 points from 10 matches) and Heracles sit 1st (25 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 12 | 25 |
| 5 | NAC Breda | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 17 |
A question about NAC Breda vs Heracles?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NAC Breda vs Heracles?
- The Footlab AI model makes Heracles the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for NAC Breda.
- Where and when is NAC Breda vs Heracles played?
- NAC Breda vs Heracles is played on October 23, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Rat Verlegh Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.