Hercílio Luz vs Nação: result 1-0 and analysis
Copa Santa CatarinaGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on September 28, 2024 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Aníbal Torres Costa, Tubarão, Santa Catarina
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What was the result of Hercílio Luz vs Nação?
Hercílio Luz won 1-0 on September 28, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 86′GeninhoHercílio Luz
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hercílio Luz have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Nação have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2024 | Figueirense(away) | 1-0 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 16, 2024 | Chapecoense B(away) | 0-0 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Barra(home) | 2-0 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Cianorte(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Jul 14, 2024 | Avenida(away) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2024 | Concórdia(home) | 0-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Joinville(home) | 3-3 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Marcílio Dias(away) | 0-1 | Copa Santa Catarina |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Joinville(home) | 1-3 | Catarinense - 1 |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Marcílio Dias(away) | 1-1 | Catarinense - 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Hercílio Luz win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Nação win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024 | Hercílio Luz 2-2 Nação | Catarinense - 1 |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Nação 0-1 Hercílio Luz | Copa Santa Catarina |
Last archived meeting: Hercílio Luz vs Nação on Feb 15, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Hercílio Luz score 0.9 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Nação score 1.0 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hercílio Luz | 0.9 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Nação | 1.0 | 2.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy