TEC vs Hercules: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Lok, Tiel
The Footlab AI model makes TEC the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Hercules. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TEC vs Hercules?
On Elo ratings, TEC has 1,781 points and Hercules 1,703.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for TEC vs Hercules
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
TEC
Not enough data to predict the TEC lineup.
Hercules
Not enough data to predict the Hercules lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 06:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TEC have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Hercules have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | SVZW(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Staphorst(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Eemdijk(home) | 7-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 23, 2026 | JOS Watergraafsmeer(away) | 4-4 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Hercules(away) | 4-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sportlust '46(home) | 0-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Hollandia(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | TEC(home) | 2-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sparta Nijkerk(away) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 TEC wins, 2 draws, 1 Hercules win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Hercules 2-4 TEC | Derde Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | TEC 0-0 Hercules | Derde Divisie |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Hercules 0-2 TEC | Derde Divisie |
| Mar 23, 2025 | TEC 0-0 Hercules | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Hercules 3-1 TEC | Derde Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
TEC score 2.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hercules score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEC | 2.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Hercules | 1.4 | 1.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TEC sit 6th in Derde Divisie (19 points from 9 matches) and Hercules sit 12th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | TEC | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 16 | 19 |
| 12 | Hercules | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 10 |
A question about TEC vs Hercules?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TEC vs Hercules?
- The Footlab AI model makes TEC the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Hercules.
- Where and when is TEC vs Hercules played?
- TEC vs Hercules is played on February 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Lok, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.