Herd vs Strindheim: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 2Regular Season - 25Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)AMFI Moa Stadion, Ålesund
The Footlab model makes Herd the favourite at 48%, against 21% for a draw and 32% for Strindheim. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Herd vs Strindheim?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Herd (1,623) and Strindheim (1,673).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Herd have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Strindheim have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ranheim II(home) | 9-0 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Aalesund II(away) | 0-3 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Volda(home) | 0-1 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Melhus(away) | 0-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | NTNUI(home) | 2-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Levanger(home) | 0-8 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | NTNUI(home) | 4-0 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Spjelkavik(away) | 4-0 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Aalesund II(home) | 2-0 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Rosenborg II(away) | 1-1 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Herd win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Strindheim win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Strindheim 4-2 Herd | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Herd score 2.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Strindheim score 2.6 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Herd | 2.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Strindheim | 2.6 | 2.0 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Herd sit 2nd in 3. Division - Girone 2 (17 points from 9 matches) and Strindheim sit 5th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Herd | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 17 |
| 3 | Strindheim | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 41 | 27 | 30 |
| 4 | Herd | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 40 | 24 | 27 |
| 5 | Strindheim | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 19 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Herd vs Strindheim?
- The Footlab model makes Herd the favourite at 48%, against 21% for a draw and 32% for Strindheim.
- Where and when is Herd vs Strindheim played?
- Herd vs Strindheim is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at AMFI Moa Stadion, in the 3. Division - Girone 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.