NTNUI vs Melhus: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 2Regular Season - 25Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Koteng Arena, Trondheim
The Footlab model makes Melhus the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for NTNUI. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NTNUI vs Melhus?
Melhus starts as the favourite with a 229-point Elo edge (1,716 vs 1,486).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NTNUI have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Melhus have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Strindheim(away) | 0-4 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Byåsen(home) | 0-0 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Ranheim II(away) | 1-4 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Herd(away) | 2-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Nardo(away) | 0-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stjørdals-Blink(home) | 0-3 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nardo(away) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Orkla(home) | 8-3 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Kvik Trondheim(away) | 1-1 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Herd(home) | 2-0 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 NTNUI win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Melhus win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2026 | Melhus 3-3 NTNUI | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Oct 14, 2021 | NTNUI 0-1 Melhus | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
NTNUI score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Melhus score 2.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NTNUI | 1.3 | 2.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Melhus | 2.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NTNUI sit 7th in 3. Division - Girone 2 (13 points from 10 matches) and Melhus sit 1st (21 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melhus | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 10 | 21 |
| 2 | Melhus | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 21 | 32 |
| 7 | NTNUI | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 21 | 13 |
| 12 | NTNUI | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 34 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NTNUI vs Melhus?
- The Footlab model makes Melhus the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for NTNUI.
- Where and when is NTNUI vs Melhus played?
- NTNUI vs Melhus is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Koteng Arena, in the 3. Division - Girone 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.