Hereford vs Buxton: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 21Kick-off on December 8, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Edgar Street Athletic Ground, Hereford, Herefordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Hereford the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Buxton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hereford wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hereford vs Buxton?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Hereford (1,869) and Buxton (1,889).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hereford vs Buxton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hereford
Not enough data to predict the Hereford lineup.
Buxton
Not enough data to predict the Buxton lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:13 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hereford have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Buxton have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hednesford Town(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bedford Town(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Stafford Rangers(away) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | South Shields(home) | 6-0 | National League - North |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Harborough Town(away) | 3-0 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | South Shields(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | South Shields(away) | 0-4 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chester(home) | 3-1 | National League - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hereford wins, 1 draw, 2 Buxton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Buxton 2-1 Hereford | National League - North |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Hereford 0-2 Buxton | National League - North |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Buxton 1-2 Hereford | National League - North |
| Feb 25, 2025 | Hereford 2-1 Buxton | National League - North |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Buxton 1-2 Hereford | National League - North |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Hereford 2-2 Buxton | National League - North |
How many goals should we expect?
Hereford score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Buxton score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hereford | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Buxton | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hereford sit 2nd in National League - North (23 points from 11 matches) and Buxton sit 10th (16 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hereford | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 6 | 23 |
| 10 | Buxton | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 16 |
A question about Hereford vs Buxton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hereford vs Buxton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Hereford the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Buxton.
- Where and when is Hereford vs Buxton played?
- Hereford vs Buxton is played on December 8, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Edgar Street Athletic Ground, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.