Where and when is Buxton vs Southport played?

Buxton vs Southport is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Silverlands, in the National League - North.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Buxton vs Southport: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 22Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Silverlands, Buxton, Derbyshire

Buxton

Southport

The Footlab model makes Buxton the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Southport. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Buxton vs Southport?

A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Buxton (1,888) and Southport (1,824).

Buxton win50 %

Draw24 %

Southport win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buxton have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Southport have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Buxton
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Hebburn Town(home)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Bedford Town(away)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	Southport(away)	1-1	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Hereford(home)	2-1	National League - North
Aug 1, 2026	Warrington Town(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

Southport
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Bedford Town(home)	4-1	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Hednesford Town(away)	2-2	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	Buxton(home)	1-1	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Hebburn Town(away)	1-3	National League - North
Jul 31, 2026	Wigan(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Buxton win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Southport win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Southport 1-1 Buxton	National League - North
Feb 17, 2026	Southport 0-0 Buxton	National League - North
Nov 15, 2025	Buxton 2-3 Southport	FA Trophy
Nov 4, 2025	Buxton 1-2 Southport	National League - North
Feb 1, 2025	Buxton 2-1 Southport	National League - North
Aug 31, 2024	Southport 3-2 Buxton	National League - North

Last archived meeting: Southport vs Buxton on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Buxton score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Southport score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Buxton	2.1	1.2	4	10/15	10/15
Southport	1.5	1.5	3	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Buxton sit 14th in National League - North (4 points from 4 matches) and Southport sit 11th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Southport	4	1	2	1	8	7	5
14	Buxton	4	1	1	2	5	6	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Buxton vs Southport?: The Footlab model makes Buxton the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Southport.
Where and when is Buxton vs Southport played?: Buxton vs Southport is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Silverlands, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.