Buxton vs Southport: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 22Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Silverlands, Buxton, Derbyshire
The Footlab AI model makes Buxton the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Southport. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,479 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buxton vs Southport?
Buxton starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,915 vs 1,814).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Buxton vs Southport
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Buxton
Not enough data to predict the Buxton lineup.
Southport
Not enough data to predict the Southport lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buxton have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Southport have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | South Shields(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | South Shields(away) | 0-4 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chester(home) | 3-1 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Harborough Town(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(home) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Morecambe(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Worksop Town(away) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Morecambe(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Buxton win, 2 draws, 3 Southport wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Southport 1-1 Buxton | National League - North |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Southport 0-0 Buxton | National League - North |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Buxton 2-3 Southport | FA Trophy |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Buxton 1-2 Southport | National League - North |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Buxton 2-1 Southport | National League - North |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Southport 3-2 Buxton | National League - North |
How many goals should we expect?
Buxton score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Southport score 1.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buxton | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Southport | 1.0 | 1.6 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buxton sit 10th in National League - North (16 points from 11 matches) and Southport sit 20th (9 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Buxton | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 16 |
| 20 | Southport | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 9 |
A question about Buxton vs Southport?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buxton vs Southport?
- The Footlab AI model makes Buxton the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Southport.
- Where and when is Buxton vs Southport played?
- Buxton vs Southport is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Silverlands, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 19, 2026MorecambevsHarborough Town
- Dec 19, 2026ChorleyvsSouth Shields
- Dec 19, 2026Oxford CityvsSpalding United
- Dec 19, 2026AFC Telford UnitedvsWorksop Town
- Dec 19, 2026MarinevsHereford
- Dec 19, 2026Merthyr TownvsSpennymoor Town
- Dec 19, 2026RadcliffevsMacclesfield
- Dec 19, 2026Scarborough AthleticvsHednesford Town