Marine vs Hereford: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 22Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Marine Travel Arena, Crosby, Merseyside
The Footlab model makes Marine the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Hereford. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marine vs Hereford?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Marine (1,791) and Hereford (1,797).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marine have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Hereford have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(away) | 4-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Chorley(home) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hereford(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Macclesfield(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bootle(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Worksop Town(away) | 3-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Radcliffe(home) | 3-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Marine(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Buxton(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Marine win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Hereford win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hereford 1-0 Marine | National League - North |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Hereford 2-1 Marine | National League - North |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Marine 0-1 Hereford | National League - North |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Marine 2-2 Hereford | National League - North |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Hereford 4-0 Marine | National League - North |
How many goals should we expect?
Marine score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Hereford score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marine | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Hereford | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marine sit 18th in National League - North (3 points from 4 matches) and Hereford sit 6th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hereford | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 18 | Marine | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marine vs Hereford?
- The Footlab model makes Marine the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Hereford.
- Where and when is Marine vs Hereford played?
- Marine vs Hereford is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Marine Travel Arena, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 19, 2026MorecambevsHarborough Town
- Dec 19, 2026ChorleyvsSouth Shields
- Dec 19, 2026Oxford CityvsSpalding United
- Dec 19, 2026AFC Telford UnitedvsWorksop Town
- Dec 19, 2026BuxtonvsSouthport
- Dec 19, 2026Merthyr TownvsSpennymoor Town
- Dec 19, 2026RadcliffevsMacclesfield
- Dec 19, 2026Scarborough AthleticvsHednesford Town