Herrestads vs IF Karlstad II: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Norra GötalandNorra Götaland - 20Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Undavallen Konstgräs, Uddevalla
The Footlab model makes Herrestads the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for IF Karlstad II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Herrestads vs IF Karlstad II?
Herrestads starts as the favourite with a 183-point Elo edge (1,520 vs 1,337).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Herrestads have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; IF Karlstad II have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Vänersborgs IF(home) | 3-0 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | IFK Skövde(away) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tord(home) | 3-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Vänersborgs FK(away) | 4-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Skara(away) | 0-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Motala(away) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lidköping(home) | 0-0 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ahlafors(away) | 0-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Grebbestad(home) | 1-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Husqvarna(away) | 1-3 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Herrestads win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 IF Karlstad II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | IF Karlstad II 1-1 Herrestads | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
Last archived meeting: IF Karlstad II vs Herrestads on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Herrestads score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; IF Karlstad II score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Herrestads | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| IF Karlstad II | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Herrestads sit 8th in Division 2 - Norra Götaland (17 points from 13 matches) and IF Karlstad II sit 11th (10 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Herrestads | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 33 | 27 |
| 8 | Herrestads | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 24 | 17 |
| 11 | IF Karlstad II | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 10 |
| 13 | IF Karlstad II | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Herrestads vs IF Karlstad II?
- The Footlab model makes Herrestads the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for IF Karlstad II.
- Where and when is Herrestads vs IF Karlstad II played?
- Herrestads vs IF Karlstad II is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Undavallen Konstgräs, in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.