Skara vs Vänersborgs IF: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Norra GötalandNorra Götaland - 20Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Skara the favourite at 81%, against 13% for a draw and 7% for Vänersborgs IF. The most likely score is 3-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Skara vs Vänersborgs IF?
Skara starts as the favourite with a 248-point Elo edge (1,544 vs 1,296).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Skara have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Vänersborgs IF have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tord(home) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Husqvarna(away) | 0-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Vänersborgs FK(home) | 4-0 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Stenungsund(away) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Herrestads(home) | 2-0 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Herrestads(away) | 0-3 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Vänersborgs FK(home) | 0-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kumla(away) | 1-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Motala(home) | 3-3 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Stenungsund(home) | 1-0 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Skara win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Vänersborgs IF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Vänersborgs IF 1-2 Skara | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Vänersborgs IF 2-4 Skara | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Skara 1-2 Vänersborgs IF | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
Last archived meeting: Vänersborgs IF vs Skara on Apr 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Skara score 2.0 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Vänersborgs IF score 1.0 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skara | 2.0 | 0.8 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Vänersborgs IF | 1.0 | 2.7 | 1 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Skara sit 2nd in Division 2 - Norra Götaland (30 points from 13 matches) and Vänersborgs IF sit 14th (5 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Skara | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 17 | 30 |
| 2 | Skara | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 40 |
| 14 | Vänersborgs IF | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 5 |
| 14 | Vänersborgs IF | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 50 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Skara vs Vänersborgs IF?
- The Footlab model makes Skara the favourite at 81%, against 13% for a draw and 7% for Vänersborgs IF.
- Where and when is Skara vs Vänersborgs IF played?
- Skara vs Vänersborgs IF is played on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.