Motala vs Stenungsund: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Norra GötalandNorra Götaland - 20Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Motala Idrottspark, Motala
The Footlab model makes Motala the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Stenungsund. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Motala vs Stenungsund?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Motala (1,476) and Stenungsund (1,400).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Motala have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Stenungsund have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | IF Karlstad II(home) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tord(away) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Husqvarna(home) | 0-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Vänersborgs IF(away) | 3-3 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Vänersborgs FK(home) | 0-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Grebbestad(away) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kumla(home) | 5-0 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lidköping(away) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Skara(home) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Trollhättan(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Motala win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Stenungsund win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Stenungsund 1-1 Motala | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Stenungsund 2-2 Motala | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| May 18, 2024 | Motala 3-3 Stenungsund | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
Last archived meeting: Stenungsund vs Motala on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Motala score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Stenungsund score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Motala | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Stenungsund | 1.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Motala sit 9th in Division 2 - Norra Götaland (15 points from 12 matches) and Stenungsund sit 6th (18 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Stenungsund | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 18 |
| 7 | Stenungsund | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 34 | 25 | 26 |
| 8 | Motala | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 21 |
| 9 | Motala | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Motala vs Stenungsund?
- The Footlab model makes Motala the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Stenungsund.
- Where and when is Motala vs Stenungsund played?
- Motala vs Stenungsund is played on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Motala Idrottspark, in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.