VfL Bochum vs Karlsruher SC: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Vonovia Ruhrstadion, Bochum
The Footlab model makes VfL Bochum the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Karlsruher SC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfL Bochum vs Karlsruher SC?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate VfL Bochum (1,984) and Karlsruher SC (1,959).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Bochum have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Karlsruher SC have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away) | 2-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Eintracht Braunschweig(away) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hertha BSC(home) | 0-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Werder Bremen(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Preußen Münster(away) | 2-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(away) | 0-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(home) | 2-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Inter(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 VfL Bochum win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Karlsruher SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Karlsruher SC 1-2 VfL Bochum | 2. Bundesliga |
| Dec 20, 2025 | VfL Bochum 2-2 Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| Dec 10, 2022 | VfL Bochum 1-2 Karlsruher SC | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 31, 2021 | VfL Bochum 1-2 Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Karlsruher SC 0-1 VfL Bochum | 2. Bundesliga |
| May 24, 2020 | Karlsruher SC 0-0 VfL Bochum | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Karlsruher SC vs VfL Bochum on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
VfL Bochum score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Karlsruher SC score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Bochum | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Karlsruher SC | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfL Bochum sit 7th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and Karlsruher SC sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Karlsruher SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | VfL Bochum | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfL Bochum vs Karlsruher SC?
- The Footlab model makes VfL Bochum the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Karlsruher SC.
- Where and when is VfL Bochum vs Karlsruher SC played?
- VfL Bochum vs Karlsruher SC is played on November 7, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Vonovia Ruhrstadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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