Where and when is Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld played?

Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld is played on November 7, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Holstein-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Holstein-Stadion, Kiel

Holstein Kiel

Arminia Bielefeld

The Footlab model makes Holstein Kiel the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Arminia Bielefeld. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Holstein Kiel (1,984) and Arminia Bielefeld (2,019).

Holstein Kiel win38 %

Draw25 %

Arminia Bielefeld win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holstein Kiel have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Arminia Bielefeld have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Holstein Kiel
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	TSV 1860 München(away)	2-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026	FC St. Pauli(home)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	SV Darmstadt 98(away)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Jul 29, 2026	1899 Hoffenheim(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	FSV Mainz 05(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs

Arminia Bielefeld
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)	2-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Energie Cottbus(home)	3-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	Karlsruher SC(away)	1-2	2. Bundesliga
Jul 25, 2026	MSV Duisburg(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Bologna(away)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Holstein Kiel win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Arminia Bielefeld win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 23, 2026	Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 Holstein Kiel	2. Bundesliga
Aug 10, 2025	Holstein Kiel 0-2 Arminia Bielefeld	2. Bundesliga
Apr 2, 2023	Holstein Kiel 2-3 Arminia Bielefeld	2. Bundesliga
Jan 14, 2023	Arminia Bielefeld 2-1 Holstein Kiel	Friendlies Clubs
Sep 17, 2022	Arminia Bielefeld 4-2 Holstein Kiel	2. Bundesliga
May 30, 2020	Holstein Kiel 1-2 Arminia Bielefeld	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel on Jan 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Holstein Kiel score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Arminia Bielefeld score 2.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Holstein Kiel	1.7	1.5	4	10/15	12/15
Arminia Bielefeld	2.6	1.4	3	11/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Holstein Kiel sit 12th in 2. Bundesliga (2 points from 2 matches) and Arminia Bielefeld sit 6th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Arminia Bielefeld	2	1	0	1	4	2	3
12	Holstein Kiel	2	0	2	0	4	4	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld?: The Footlab model makes Holstein Kiel the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Arminia Bielefeld.
Where and when is Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld played?: Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld is played on November 7, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Holstein-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.