Match

Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Holstein-Stadion, Kiel

Holstein KielArminia Bielefeld

The Footlab AI model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Holstein Kiel. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arminia Bielefeld wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,471 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld?

A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Holstein Kiel (1,972) and Arminia Bielefeld (2,013).

36%27%37%
Holstein Kiel winDrawArminia Bielefeld win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Holstein Kiel

4-4-2
  1. 19P. Harres
  2. 9G. Kvilitaia
  1. 28J. Meffert
  2. 20A. Kaprálik
  3. 15K. Davidsen
  4. 10J. Therkelsen
  1. 32H. Sekine
  2. 5N. Madsen
  3. 40Leon Parduzi
  4. 13I. Nekić
  1. 1T. Weiner

Arminia Bielefeld

3-4-3
  1. 38M. Wörl
  2. 11J. Grodowski
  3. 14M. Momuluh
  1. 21S. Russo
  2. 17A. Sicker
  3. 31L. Jensen
  4. 10J. Rochelt
  1. 5M. Bauer
  2. 19M. Großer
  3. 2F. Hagmann
  1. 1J. Kersken

Computed on November 4, 2026 at 04:26 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holstein Kiel have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Arminia Bielefeld have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away)0-12. Bundesliga
Oct 28, 20261899 Hoffenheim(home)1-1DFB Pokal
Oct 25, 2026Dynamo Dresden(home)3-02. Bundesliga
Oct 16, 2026Hertha BSC(home)0-02. Bundesliga
Oct 9, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(away)0-12. Bundesliga
Arminia Bielefeld
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 30, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(home)3-12. Bundesliga
Oct 24, 2026Hertha BSC(away)0-12. Bundesliga
Oct 18, 2026VfL Osnabrück(home)2-12. Bundesliga
Oct 11, 2026VfL Bochum(away)1-02. Bundesliga
Oct 3, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Holstein Kiel wins, 1 draw, 5 Arminia Bielefeld wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 23, 2026Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
Aug 10, 2025Holstein Kiel 0-2 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
Apr 2, 2023Holstein Kiel 2-3 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
Jan 14, 2023Arminia Bielefeld 2-1 Holstein KielFriendlies Clubs
Sep 17, 2022Arminia Bielefeld 4-2 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
May 30, 2020Holstein Kiel 1-2 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel on Jan 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Holstein Kiel score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Arminia Bielefeld score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Holstein Kiel1.11.337/157/15
Arminia Bielefeld1.91.3410/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Holstein Kiel sit 17th in 2. Bundesliga (8 points from 10 matches) and Arminia Bielefeld sit 7th (14 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Arminia Bielefeld10424161514
17Holstein Kiel1015410128

A question about Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld?
The Footlab AI model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Holstein Kiel.
Where and when is Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld played?
Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld is played on November 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Holstein-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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