Hertha BSC vs Karlsruher SC: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Olympiastadion Berlin, Berlin
The Footlab model makes Hertha BSC the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Karlsruher SC. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hertha BSC vs Karlsruher SC?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Hertha BSC (2,042) and Karlsruher SC (1,959).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hertha BSC have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Karlsruher SC have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(away) | 1-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(home) | 4-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | VfL Bochum(away) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 1. FC Köln(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Preußen Münster(away) | 2-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(away) | 0-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(home) | 2-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Inter(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hertha BSC win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Karlsruher SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Karlsruher SC 2-2 Hertha BSC | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Hertha BSC 0-0 Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Hertha BSC 3-1 Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Karlsruher SC 1-3 Hertha BSC | 2. Bundesliga |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Karlsruher SC 3-2 Hertha BSC | 2. Bundesliga |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Hertha BSC 2-2 Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Karlsruher SC vs Hertha BSC on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hertha BSC score 2.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Karlsruher SC score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hertha BSC | 2.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Karlsruher SC | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hertha BSC sit 2nd in 2. Bundesliga (6 points from 2 matches) and Karlsruher SC sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hertha BSC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Karlsruher SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hertha BSC vs Karlsruher SC?
- The Footlab model makes Hertha BSC the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Karlsruher SC.
- Where and when is Hertha BSC vs Karlsruher SC played?
- Hertha BSC vs Karlsruher SC is played on November 28, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Olympiastadion Berlin, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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