Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, Dresden
The Footlab model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
Dynamo Dresden starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (2,026 vs 1,879).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dynamo Dresden have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Westfalia Rhynern(away) | 6-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(home) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(away) | 0-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Union Berlin(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | VfL Bochum(home) | 1-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(home) | 2-4 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC St. Pauli(away) | 1-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | FC Zurich(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Eintracht Bamberg(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Dynamo Dresden win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 SpVgg Greuther Fürth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden 2-0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 3, 2025 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3-2 Dynamo Dresden | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jun 9, 2020 | Dynamo Dresden 1-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 18, 2019 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2-0 Dynamo Dresden | 2. Bundesliga |
| Apr 4, 2019 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0-0 Dynamo Dresden | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 30, 2018 | Dynamo Dresden 0-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dynamo Dresden score 2.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Dresden | 2.8 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dynamo Dresden sit 11th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Dynamo Dresden | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
- The Footlab model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
- Where and when is Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth played?
- Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth is played on November 7, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026Hertha BSCvsVfL Wolfsburg
- Nov 7, 20261. FC NürnbergvsSV Darmstadt 98
- Nov 7, 2026VfL BochumvsKarlsruher SC
- Nov 7, 20261. FC MagdeburgvsFC St. Pauli
- Nov 7, 20261. FC HeidenheimvsHannover 96
- Nov 7, 2026Holstein KielvsArminia Bielefeld
- Nov 7, 2026Eintracht BraunschweigvsEnergie Cottbus
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