Match

Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, Dresden

Dynamo DresdenSpVgg Greuther Fürth

The Footlab model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Dynamo Dresden starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (2,026 vs 1,879).

Dynamo Dresden win62 %
Draw22 %
SpVgg Greuther Fürth win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dynamo Dresden have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Dynamo Dresden
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Westfalia Rhynern(away)6-0DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(home)1-02. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 20261. FC Nürnberg(away)0-32. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026Union Berlin(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Energie Cottbus(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026VfL Bochum(home)1-2DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 20261. FC Nürnberg(home)2-42. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026FC St. Pauli(away)1-12. Bundesliga
Jul 18, 2026FC Zurich(away)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026Eintracht Bamberg(home)1-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Dynamo Dresden win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 SpVgg Greuther Fürth win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 17, 2026Dynamo Dresden 2-0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga
Aug 3, 2025SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3-2 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
Jun 9, 2020Dynamo Dresden 1-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga
Oct 18, 2019SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2-0 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
Apr 4, 2019SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0-0 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
Sep 30, 2018Dynamo Dresden 0-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth on Jan 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Dynamo Dresden score 2.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Dynamo Dresden2.80.985/1510/15
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1.31.739/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Dynamo Dresden sit 11th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Dynamo Dresden2101133
16SpVgg Greuther Fürth2011351

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
The Footlab model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Where and when is Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth played?
Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth is played on November 7, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Dynamo Dresden and SpVgg Greuther Fürth

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