HNK Gorica vs NK Slaven Belupo: prediction and stats
HNLRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)ŠRC Velika Gorica, Velika Gorica
The Footlab model makes HNK Gorica the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for NK Slaven Belupo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win HNK Gorica vs NK Slaven Belupo?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate HNK Gorica (1,816) and NK Slaven Belupo (1,828).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, HNK Gorica have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; NK Slaven Belupo have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | NK Slaven Belupo(away) | 0-2 | HNL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(home) | 1-2 | HNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(away) | 1-3 | HNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | NK Osijek(home) | 0-2 | HNL |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | HNK Gorica(home) | 2-0 | HNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Istra 1961(away) | 0-3 | HNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | NK Varazdin(home) | 1-4 | HNL |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(away) | 0-2 | HNL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sesvete(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 HNK Gorica win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 NK Slaven Belupo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | NK Slaven Belupo 2-0 HNK Gorica | HNL |
| May 10, 2026 | NK Slaven Belupo 1-0 HNK Gorica | HNL |
| Mar 7, 2026 | HNK Gorica 2-2 NK Slaven Belupo | HNL |
| Dec 5, 2025 | NK Slaven Belupo 2-1 HNK Gorica | HNL |
| Sep 21, 2025 | HNK Gorica 2-1 NK Slaven Belupo | HNL |
| May 18, 2025 | NK Slaven Belupo 4-0 HNK Gorica | HNL |
Last archived meeting: NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
HNK Gorica score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; NK Slaven Belupo score 1.4 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HNK Gorica | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| NK Slaven Belupo | 1.4 | 2.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
HNK Gorica sit 10th in HNL (0 points from 4 matches) and NK Slaven Belupo sit 8th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | NK Slaven Belupo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
| 10 | HNK Gorica | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for HNK Gorica vs NK Slaven Belupo?
- The Footlab model makes HNK Gorica the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for NK Slaven Belupo.
- Where and when is HNK Gorica vs NK Slaven Belupo played?
- HNK Gorica vs NK Slaven Belupo is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at ŠRC Velika Gorica, in the HNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.