NK Osijek vs HNK Hajduk Split: prediction and stats
HNLRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Opus Arena, Osijek
The Footlab AI model makes HNK Hajduk Split the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for NK Osijek. The most likely score is 1-1. If HNK Hajduk Split wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,496 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NK Osijek vs HNK Hajduk Split?
HNK Hajduk Split starts as the favourite with a 211-point Elo edge (2,023 vs 1,811).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for NK Osijek vs HNK Hajduk Split
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
NK Osijek
4-2-3-1- 79A. León
- 11Luka Tunjic
- 30A. Ljatifi
- 21Cantero
- 16O. Petrusenko
- 18Niko Farkaš
- 22J. Kruiver
- 26L. Jelenić
- 49Ivano Kolarik
- 47D. Kalem
- 31M. Malenica
HNK Hajduk Split
4-2-3-1- 11M. Šego
- 20Alberto del Moral
- 7A. Sanyang
- 9Dali
- 23M. Šotiček
- 8K. Fayad
- 22M. Acapandié
- 6D. Hadžikadunić
- 32Š. Hrgović
- 15D. Marešić
- 33T. Silić
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 01:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NK Osijek have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; HNK Hajduk Split have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(away) | 3-1 | HNL |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Rudes(home) | 0-1 | HNL |
| Oct 17, 2026 | HNK Gorica(home) | 1-1 | HNL |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Istra 1961(home) | 1-3 | HNL |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bsk Bijelo Brdo(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | HNK Gorica(home) | 5-0 | HNL |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Istra 1961(away) | 2-2 | HNL |
| Oct 22, 2026 | FC Thun(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | NK Varazdin(home) | 1-0 | HNL |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Ajax(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 NK Osijek wins, 0 draws, 4 HNK Hajduk Split wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split 4-0 NK Osijek | HNL |
| Apr 21, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split 0-1 NK Osijek | HNL |
| Feb 15, 2026 | NK Osijek 0-2 HNK Hajduk Split | HNL |
| Nov 8, 2025 | HNK Hajduk Split 2-0 NK Osijek | HNL |
| Aug 24, 2025 | NK Osijek 0-2 HNK Hajduk Split | HNL |
| Apr 27, 2025 | NK Osijek 2-0 HNK Hajduk Split | HNL |
Last archived meeting: HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
NK Osijek score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; HNK Hajduk Split score 2.2 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NK Osijek | 1.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| HNK Hajduk Split | 2.2 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NK Osijek sit 3rd in HNL (20 points from 12 matches) and HNK Hajduk Split sit 1st (26 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HNK Hajduk Split | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 11 | 26 |
| 3 | NK Osijek | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 20 |
A question about NK Osijek vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NK Osijek vs HNK Hajduk Split?
- The Footlab AI model makes HNK Hajduk Split the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for NK Osijek.
- Where and when is NK Osijek vs HNK Hajduk Split played?
- NK Osijek vs HNK Hajduk Split is played on November 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Opus Arena, in the HNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.