Match

hodd vs Ranheim: prediction and stats

1. DivisionRegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Nye Høddvoll Stadion, Ulsteinvik

hoddRanheim

The Footlab model makes hodd the favourite at 44%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for Ranheim. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win hodd vs Ranheim?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate hodd (1,807) and Ranheim (1,793).

hodd win44 %
Draw22 %
Ranheim win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, hodd have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Ranheim have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

hodd
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Spjelkavik(away)2-1NM Cupen
Aug 16, 2026Strommen(home)4-31. Division
Aug 9, 2026Sandnes ULF(away)4-31. Division
Aug 2, 2026Moss(home)2-11. Division
Jul 27, 2026Stabaek(away)0-61. Division
Ranheim
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Steinkjer(away)6-0NM Cupen
Aug 15, 2026Stromsgodset(home)1-31. Division
Aug 9, 2026Strommen(away)4-11. Division
Aug 3, 2026Haugesund(home)3-41. Division
Jul 26, 2026Sogndal(away)2-31. Division

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 hodd win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Ranheim win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 20, 2026Ranheim 3-2 hodd1. Division
Aug 2, 2025Ranheim 2-1 hodd1. Division
Apr 29, 2025hodd 0-1 Ranheim1. Division
Nov 12, 2023Ranheim 0-0 hodd1. Division
May 3, 2023hodd 0-0 Ranheim1. Division
Apr 3, 2023Ranheim 3-1 hoddFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Ranheim vs hodd on May 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

hodd score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ranheim score 2.5 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
hodd2.11.9211/1512/15
Ranheim2.52.6113/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

hodd sit 5th in 1. Division (30 points from 18 matches) and Ranheim sit 9th (23 points from 18 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5hodd18936323230
6Ranheim12624322620
8hodd11425141514
9Ranheim18729444523

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for hodd vs Ranheim?
The Footlab model makes hodd the favourite at 44%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for Ranheim.
Where and when is hodd vs Ranheim played?
hodd vs Ranheim is played on October 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Nye Høddvoll Stadion, in the 1. Division.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: hodd and Ranheim

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