Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Marienlyst Stadion, Drammen
The Footlab AI model makes Stromsgodset the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Kongsvinger. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger?
On Elo ratings, Stromsgodset has 1,936 points and Kongsvinger 1,987.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Stromsgodset
4-3-3- 16F. Ardraa
- 11S. Pingel
- 9E. Melkersen
- 10H. Stengel
- 8K. Krasniqi
- 22K. Antonsen
- 71G. Valsvik
- 25J. Taaje
- 3V. Dedes
- 26L. Vilsvik
- 1M. Lamhauge
Kongsvinger
4-3-3- 27M. Sande
- 21A. C. Ntiso
- 28R. Christiansen
- 23F. Christensen
- 8A. Dybevik
- 17M. Gjerstrøm
- 3S. Norheim
- 2V. Fors
- 12M. Mbow
- 19E. Nielsen
- 93A. Gorodovoy
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 01:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stromsgodset have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Kongsvinger have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Asane(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Raufoss(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sandnes ULF(home) | 4-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Asker(away) | 4-1 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 5, 2026 | ODD Ballklubb(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | Moss(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 20, 2026 | hodd(home) | 5-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Eidsvold(away) | 3-2 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Egersund(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Raufoss(home) | 9-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Stromsgodset wins, 2 draws, 0 Kongsvinger wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Kongsvinger 4-4 Stromsgodset | 1. Division |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Kongsvinger 2-2 Stromsgodset | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Kongsvinger vs Stromsgodset on Jun 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stromsgodset score 2.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kongsvinger score 4.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stromsgodset | 2.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Kongsvinger | 4.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stromsgodset sit 3rd in 1. Division (51 points from 24 matches) and Kongsvinger sit 2nd (53 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kongsvinger | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 70 | 35 | 53 |
| 3 | Stromsgodset | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 61 | 31 | 51 |
A question about Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger?
- The Footlab AI model makes Stromsgodset the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Kongsvinger.
- Where and when is Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger played?
- Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger is played on October 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Marienlyst Stadion, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.