Moss vs Egersund: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Melløs Stadion, Moss
The Footlab AI model makes Egersund the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Moss. The most likely score is 1-1. If Egersund wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Moss vs Egersund?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Moss (1,730) and Egersund (1,811).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Moss vs Egersund
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Moss
4-3-3- 20N. Semmen
- 9O. Aga
- 7N. Alexandersson
- 19Lasse Overgaard
- 14J. Musbaudeen
- 8H. Krohg
- 16W. Kvale
- 2M. Cassidy
- 5O. Jebali
- 17P. Andersen
- 1E. Softic
Egersund
4-2-3-1- 7N. Tornvig
- 8C. Sleveland
- 22H. Tadesse
- 27Scott Vatne
- 18P. Hovland
- 14J. Lynum
- 3B. Maeland
- 31I. Jönsson
- 21K. Eggen
- 2H. Kleppa
- 1M. Zapytowski
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 03:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Moss have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Egersund have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | Kongsvinger(home) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Grorud(away) | 1-1 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sandnes ULF(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Haugesund(home) | 1-4 | 1. Division |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Stabaek(away) | 3-2 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Ranheim(away) | 0-5 | 1. Division |
| Sep 20, 2026 | ODD Ballklubb(away) | 1-5 | 1. Division |
| Sep 16, 2026 | jerv(away) | 2-1 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Kongsvinger(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Lyn(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Moss wins, 1 draw, 5 Egersund wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Egersund 3-0 Moss | 1. Division |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Egersund 2-0 Moss | 1. Division |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Moss 2-4 Egersund | 1. Division |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Egersund 3-2 Moss | 1. Division |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Moss 1-2 Egersund | 1. Division |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Egersund 2-2 Moss | 2. Division - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Moss score 1.5 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Egersund score 1.9 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moss | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Egersund | 1.9 | 2.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Moss sit 13th in 1. Division (25 points from 24 matches) and Egersund sit 9th (29 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Egersund | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36 | 49 | 29 |
| 13 | Moss | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 38 | 54 | 25 |
A question about Moss vs Egersund?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Moss vs Egersund?
- The Footlab AI model makes Egersund the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Moss.
- Where and when is Moss vs Egersund played?
- Moss vs Egersund is played on October 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Melløs Stadion, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.