Hohenwestedt vs VfB Lübeck: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 10Kick-off on September 25, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Wilhelmshöh, Hohenwestedt
The Footlab model makes VfB Lübeck the favourite at 57%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for Hohenwestedt. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hohenwestedt vs VfB Lübeck?
VfB Lübeck starts as the favourite with a 239-point Elo edge (1,902 vs 1,664).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hohenwestedt have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; VfB Lübeck have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Heider SV(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SV Eichede(home) | 4-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kilia Kiel(away) | 3-5 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Union Neumünster(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rotenhof(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Phönix Lübeck(away) | 0-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 11, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atlas Delmenhorst(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Phönix L. II(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Heider SV(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
How many goals should we expect?
Hohenwestedt score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; VfB Lübeck score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hohenwestedt | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| VfB Lübeck | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hohenwestedt | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 14 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hohenwestedt vs VfB Lübeck?
- The Footlab model makes VfB Lübeck the favourite at 57%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for Hohenwestedt.
- Where and when is Hohenwestedt vs VfB Lübeck played?
- Hohenwestedt vs VfB Lübeck is played on September 25, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Wilhelmshöh, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.