Where and when is Todesfelde vs VfB Lübeck played?

Todesfelde vs VfB Lübeck is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at JODA Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nord.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Todesfelde vs VfB Lübeck: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordNorth - 11Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)JODA Sportpark, Todesfelde

Todesfelde

VfB Lübeck

The Footlab model makes Todesfelde the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for VfB Lübeck. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Todesfelde vs VfB Lübeck?

A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Todesfelde (1,993) and VfB Lübeck (1,896).

Todesfelde win54 %

Draw21 %

VfB Lübeck win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Todesfelde have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; VfB Lübeck have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Todesfelde
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Schöningen(away)	0-2	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026	Hamburger SV II(away)	2-2	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 9, 2026	Werder Bremen II(home)	3-3	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 2, 2026	St. Pauli II(home)	6-4	Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 25, 2026	Hansa Rostock II(away)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

VfB Lübeck
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Phönix Lübeck(away)	0-4	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 11, 2026	VfB Oldenburg(home)	1-1	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 8, 2026	Atlas Delmenhorst(away)	0-2	Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 4, 2026	Phönix L. II(home)	3-1	Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein
Aug 1, 2026	Heider SV(away)	3-1	Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Todesfelde win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 VfB Lübeck win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 10, 2024	Todesfelde 0-0 VfB Lübeck	Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 26, 2024	VfB Lübeck 2-1 Todesfelde	Regionalliga - Nord

Last archived meeting: Todesfelde vs VfB Lübeck on Nov 10, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Todesfelde score 2.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; VfB Lübeck score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Todesfelde	2.5	1.2	9	5/15	9/15
VfB Lübeck	1.3	1.3	2	9/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Todesfelde sit 10th in Regionalliga - Nord (5 points from 4 matches) and VfB Lübeck sit 16th (2 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Todesfelde	4	1	2	1	11	11	5
16	VfB Lübeck	4	0	2	2	2	8	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Todesfelde vs VfB Lübeck?: The Footlab model makes Todesfelde the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for VfB Lübeck.
Where and when is Todesfelde vs VfB Lübeck played?: Todesfelde vs VfB Lübeck is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at JODA Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.