Match

Holon Yermiyahu vs Nordia Jerusalem: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 6Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Holon Municipal Stadium, Holon

Holon YermiyahuNordia Jerusalem

The Footlab model makes Holon Yermiyahu the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Nordia Jerusalem. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Holon Yermiyahu vs Nordia Jerusalem?

A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Holon Yermiyahu (1,673) and Nordia Jerusalem (1,644).

Holon Yermiyahu win42 %
Draw24 %
Nordia Jerusalem win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holon Yermiyahu have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Nordia Jerusalem have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Holon Yermiyahu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026Maccabi Yavne(away)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Beitar Yavne(home)1-0Liga Alef
Feb 5, 2026Shimshon Tel Aviv(away)0-2Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Hapoel Marmorek(home)1-2Liga Alef
Nordia Jerusalem
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 26, 2026Hapoel Azor(away)1-2Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026FC Jerusalem(home)1-2Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Tzeirey Tira(away)2-5Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home)2-2Liga Alef
Jan 31, 2026Kfar Saba 1928(away)1-2Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Holon Yermiyahu win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Nordia Jerusalem win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 31, 2025Nordia Jerusalem 1-2 Holon YermiyahuLiga Alef
Mar 12, 2025Nordia Jerusalem 3-2 Holon YermiyahuLiga Alef
Nov 8, 2024Holon Yermiyahu 0-0 Nordia JerusalemLiga Alef
Mar 12, 2024Holon Yermiyahu 0-0 Nordia JerusalemLiga Alef
Dec 14, 2023Nordia Jerusalem 0-3 Holon YermiyahuLiga Alef
Feb 11, 2022Holon Yermiyahu 4-2 Nordia JerusalemLiga Alef

Last archived meeting: Nordia Jerusalem vs Holon Yermiyahu on Dec 31, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Holon Yermiyahu score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Nordia Jerusalem score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Holon Yermiyahu1.31.549/158/15
Nordia Jerusalem1.51.9211/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Holon Yermiyahu sit 11th in Liga Alef (24 points from 22 matches) and Nordia Jerusalem sit 16th (15 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Holon Yermiyahu226610303324
16Nordia Jerusalem223613284015

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Holon Yermiyahu vs Nordia Jerusalem?
The Footlab model makes Holon Yermiyahu the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Nordia Jerusalem.
Where and when is Holon Yermiyahu vs Nordia Jerusalem played?
Holon Yermiyahu vs Nordia Jerusalem is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Holon Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Holon Yermiyahu and Nordia Jerusalem

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