Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ashdod: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 6Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Rehovot Marmorek Weisgal Synthetic, Rehovot
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Hapoel Marmorek. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ashdod?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Hapoel Marmorek (1,626) and Maccabi Ashdod (1,688).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Marmorek have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Maccabi Ashdod have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(away) | 3-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Hapoel Marmorek win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Maccabi Ashdod win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek 1-1 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Maccabi Ashdod 5-0 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Maccabi Ashdod 0-0 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
| Nov 29, 2024 | Hapoel Marmorek 1-2 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
| Mar 8, 2024 | Maccabi Ashdod 2-1 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
| Dec 15, 2023 | Hapoel Marmorek 0-1 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ashdod on Feb 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Marmorek score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Ashdod score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Marmorek | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Maccabi Ashdod | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Marmorek sit 12th in Liga Alef (24 points from 22 matches) and Maccabi Ashdod sit 10th (28 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Maccabi Ashdod | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 28 |
| 12 | Hapoel Marmorek | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 34 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ashdod?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Hapoel Marmorek.
- Where and when is Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ashdod played?
- Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ashdod is played on October 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Rehovot Marmorek Weisgal Synthetic, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 9, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsHapoel Azor
- Oct 9, 2026Hapoel HerzliyavsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Oct 9, 2026FC JerusalemvsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Oct 10, 2026Hapoel HaderavsMaccabi Yavne
- Oct 10, 2026DimonavsHapoel Sderot
- Oct 10, 2026Holon YermiyahuvsNordia Jerusalem
- Oct 10, 2026Shimshon Tel AvivvsKfar Saba 1928
- Oct 10, 2026Beitar YavnevsTzeirey Tira