FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 6Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Har Huma synthetic, Jerusalem
The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Maccabi Kiryat Malachi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate FC Jerusalem (1,753) and Maccabi Kiryat Malachi (1,663).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Jerusalem have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Maccabi Kiryat Malachi have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Dimona(home) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Nordia Jerusalem(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(home) | 3-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(away) | 5-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 FC Jerusalem win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2026 | FC Jerusalem 1-2 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | Liga Alef |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 2-1 FC Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 0-1 FC Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Oct 22, 2024 | FC Jerusalem 0-0 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | Liga Alef |
| Sep 2, 2022 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 3-0 FC Jerusalem | State Cup |
Last archived meeting: FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi on Jan 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Jerusalem score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Kiryat Malachi score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Jerusalem | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Jerusalem sit 2nd in Liga Alef (37 points from 22 matches) and Maccabi Kiryat Malachi sit 5th (35 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Jerusalem | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 29 | 37 |
| 5 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 27 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?
- The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Maccabi Kiryat Malachi.
- Where and when is FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi played?
- FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi is played on October 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Har Huma synthetic, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 9, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsHapoel Azor
- Oct 9, 2026Hapoel MarmorekvsMaccabi Ashdod
- Oct 9, 2026Hapoel HerzliyavsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Oct 10, 2026Hapoel HaderavsMaccabi Yavne
- Oct 10, 2026DimonavsHapoel Sderot
- Oct 10, 2026Holon YermiyahuvsNordia Jerusalem
- Oct 10, 2026Shimshon Tel AvivvsKfar Saba 1928
- Oct 10, 2026Beitar YavnevsTzeirey Tira