Dimona vs Hapoel Sderot: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 6Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Dimona Municipal Stadium, Dimona
The Footlab model makes Dimona the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel Sderot. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dimona vs Hapoel Sderot?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Dimona (1,740) and Hapoel Sderot (1,671).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dimona have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Hapoel Sderot have 2, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(away) | 1-4 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(away) | 1-4 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(away) | 1-2 | State Cup |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Hapoel Hadera(away) | 4-3 | State Cup |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Araba(home) | 2-1 | State Cup |
| Oct 2, 2018 | Maccabi Yavne(home) | 0-4 | State Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Dimona score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Sderot score 1.8 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dimona | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Hapoel Sderot | 1.8 | 2.5 | 0 | 3/4 | 4/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Dimona | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 30 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dimona vs Hapoel Sderot?
- The Footlab model makes Dimona the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel Sderot.
- Where and when is Dimona vs Hapoel Sderot played?
- Dimona vs Hapoel Sderot is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Dimona Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 9, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsHapoel Azor
- Oct 9, 2026Hapoel MarmorekvsMaccabi Ashdod
- Oct 9, 2026Hapoel HerzliyavsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Oct 9, 2026FC JerusalemvsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Oct 10, 2026Hapoel HaderavsMaccabi Yavne
- Oct 10, 2026Holon YermiyahuvsNordia Jerusalem
- Oct 10, 2026Shimshon Tel AvivvsKfar Saba 1928
- Oct 10, 2026Beitar YavnevsTzeirey Tira