Match

Dimona vs Hapoel Sderot: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 6Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Dimona Municipal Stadium, Dimona

DimonaHapoel Sderot

The Footlab model makes Dimona the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel Sderot. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Dimona vs Hapoel Sderot?

A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Dimona (1,740) and Hapoel Sderot (1,671).

Dimona win39 %
Draw27 %
Hapoel Sderot win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dimona have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Hapoel Sderot have 2, 0 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Dimona
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026FC Jerusalem(away)1-4Liga Alef
Feb 19, 2026Tzeirey Tira(home)2-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(away)2-1Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Kfar Saba 1928(home)0-1Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Maccabi Yavne(away)1-4Liga Alef
Hapoel Sderot
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Dec 27, 2025Hapoel Beer Sheva(away)1-2State Cup
Oct 29, 2025Hapoel Hadera(away)4-3State Cup
Sep 30, 2025Araba(home)2-1State Cup
Oct 2, 2018Maccabi Yavne(home)0-4State Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Dimona score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Sderot score 1.8 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Dimona1.31.558/1510/15
Hapoel Sderot1.82.503/44/4

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Dimona221147293037

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Dimona vs Hapoel Sderot?
The Footlab model makes Dimona the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel Sderot.
Where and when is Dimona vs Hapoel Sderot played?
Dimona vs Hapoel Sderot is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Dimona Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Dimona and Hapoel Sderot

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