Hapoel Herzliya vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 6Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium Herzliya, Herzliya
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Mahane Yehuda the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Hapoel Herzliya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Herzliya vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Hapoel Herzliya (1,620) and Hapoel Mahane Yehuda (1,562).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Herzliya have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Hapoel Mahane Yehuda have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(home) | 1-5 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025 | Hapoel Hod HaSharon(away) | 1-5 | State Cup |
| Nov 11, 2024 | Agudat Sport Ashdod(away) | 0-1 | State Cup |
| Oct 8, 2024 | Hapoel Kiryat Ono(away) | 2-1 | State Cup |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Maccabi Giv'at Shmuel(home) | 3-1 | State Cup |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Beitar Tel Aviv Ramla(away) | 4-2 | State Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Herzliya score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Mahane Yehuda score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Herzliya | 0.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hapoel Herzliya | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 36 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Herzliya vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Mahane Yehuda the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Hapoel Herzliya.
- Where and when is Hapoel Herzliya vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda played?
- Hapoel Herzliya vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda is played on October 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium Herzliya, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 9, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsHapoel Azor
- Oct 9, 2026Hapoel MarmorekvsMaccabi Ashdod
- Oct 9, 2026FC JerusalemvsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Oct 10, 2026Hapoel HaderavsMaccabi Yavne
- Oct 10, 2026DimonavsHapoel Sderot
- Oct 10, 2026Holon YermiyahuvsNordia Jerusalem
- Oct 10, 2026Shimshon Tel AvivvsKfar Saba 1928
- Oct 10, 2026Beitar YavnevsTzeirey Tira