Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Holstein-Stadion, Kiel
The Footlab model makes Holstein Kiel the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for 1. FC Kaiserslautern. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Holstein Kiel (1,983) and 1. FC Kaiserslautern (1,997).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holstein Kiel have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; 1. FC Kaiserslautern have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | TSV 1860 München(away) | 2-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC St. Pauli(home) | 2-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(away) | 2-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 29, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(away) | 1-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(home) | 0-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(away) | 0-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Metz(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Holstein Kiel win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 1. FC Kaiserslautern win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Holstein Kiel 3-0 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2. Bundesliga |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern 4-1 Holstein Kiel | 2. Bundesliga |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Holstein Kiel 1-3 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2. Bundesliga |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern 0-3 Holstein Kiel | 2. Bundesliga |
| Feb 4, 2023 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern 2-1 Holstein Kiel | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Holstein Kiel 2-2 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Holstein Kiel score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Kaiserslautern score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1.1 | 1.1 | 8 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Holstein Kiel sit 12th in 2. Bundesliga (2 points from 2 matches) and 1. FC Kaiserslautern sit 14th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 14 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
- The Footlab model makes Holstein Kiel the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
- Where and when is Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern played?
- Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern is played on November 28, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Holstein-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Nov 28, 2026VfL BochumvsSV Darmstadt 98
- Nov 28, 2026SpVgg Greuther FürthvsArminia Bielefeld
- Nov 28, 20261. FC MagdeburgvsEnergie Cottbus
- Nov 28, 20261. FC Heidenheimvs1. FC Nürnberg
- Nov 28, 2026Dynamo DresdenvsFC St. Pauli
- Nov 28, 2026Eintracht BraunschweigvsVfL Wolfsburg
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