Where and when is SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Arminia Bielefeld played?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Arminia Bielefeld is played on November 28, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Arminia Bielefeld: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Arminia Bielefeld

The Footlab model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Arminia Bielefeld starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (2,016 vs 1,876).

SpVgg Greuther Fürth win35 %

Draw25 %

Arminia Bielefeld win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Arminia Bielefeld have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	VfL Bochum(home)	1-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	1. FC Nürnberg(home)	2-4	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	FC St. Pauli(away)	1-1	2. Bundesliga
Jul 18, 2026	FC Zurich(away)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026	Eintracht Bamberg(home)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

Arminia Bielefeld
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)	2-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Energie Cottbus(home)	3-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	Karlsruher SC(away)	1-2	2. Bundesliga
Jul 25, 2026	MSV Duisburg(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Bologna(away)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 SpVgg Greuther Fürth win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Arminia Bielefeld win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 20, 2026	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2-1 Arminia Bielefeld	2. Bundesliga
Sep 19, 2025	Arminia Bielefeld 1-3 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2. Bundesliga
May 5, 2023	Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2. Bundesliga
Oct 28, 2022	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld	2. Bundesliga
Jan 16, 2022	Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	Bundesliga
Aug 21, 2021	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Arminia Bielefeld on Feb 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Arminia Bielefeld score 2.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SpVgg Greuther Fürth	1.3	1.7	3	9/15	9/15
Arminia Bielefeld	2.6	1.4	3	11/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 16th in 2. Bundesliga (1 points from 2 matches) and Arminia Bielefeld sit 6th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Arminia Bielefeld	2	1	0	1	4	2	3
16	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2	0	1	1	3	5	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Arminia Bielefeld?: The Footlab model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Where and when is SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Arminia Bielefeld played?: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Arminia Bielefeld is played on November 28, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.