Match

Holstein Kiel vs Energie Cottbus: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaMatchday 33Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Holstein-Stadion, Kiel

Holstein KielEnergie Cottbus

The Footlab AI model makes Holstein Kiel the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Energie Cottbus. The most likely score is 1-1. If Holstein Kiel wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,450 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Holstein Kiel vs Energie Cottbus?

A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Holstein Kiel (1,951) and Energie Cottbus (1,960).

44%25%31%
Holstein Kiel winDrawEnergie Cottbus win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Holstein Kiel vs Energie Cottbus

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Holstein Kiel

4-3-3
  1. 19P. Harres
  2. 10J. Therkelsen
  3. 11G. de Regt
  1. 28J. Meffert
  2. 15K. Davidsen
  3. 20A. Kaprálik
  1. 32H. Sekine
  2. 5N. Madsen
  3. 40Leon Parduzi
  4. 4S. Schonlau
  1. 1T. Weiner

Energie Cottbus

4-2-3-1
  1. 31J. Butler
  1. 8Lukas Michelbrink
  2. 9L. Copado
  3. 32L. Bittencourt
  4. 11M. Hannemann
  5. 10T. Ciğerci
  1. 2K. Manu
  2. 3H. Rorig
  3. 21Luca Erlein
  4. 25L. Guwara
  1. 1M. Lotka

Computed on November 12, 2026 at 02:31 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holstein Kiel have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Energie Cottbus have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Arminia Bielefeld(home)1-22. Bundesliga
Nov 1, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away)0-12. Bundesliga
Oct 28, 20261899 Hoffenheim(home)1-1DFB Pokal
Oct 25, 2026Dynamo Dresden(home)3-02. Bundesliga
Oct 16, 2026Hertha BSC(home)0-02. Bundesliga
Energie Cottbus
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 6, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(away)0-02. Bundesliga
Oct 30, 2026VfL Bochum(home)1-22. Bundesliga
Oct 24, 20261. FC Heidenheim(away)1-12. Bundesliga
Oct 16, 20261. FC Nürnberg(home)1-12. Bundesliga
Oct 10, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(away)1-32. Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Holstein Kiel wins, 0 draws, 2 Energie Cottbus wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 5, 2016Holstein Kiel 1-2 Energie Cottbus3. Liga
Sep 23, 2015Energie Cottbus 1-2 Holstein Kiel3. Liga
Feb 7, 2015Energie Cottbus 0-2 Holstein Kiel3. Liga
Aug 23, 2014Holstein Kiel 0-1 Energie Cottbus3. Liga
Jul 30, 2011Holstein Kiel 3-0 Energie CottbusDFB Pokal

Last archived meeting: Holstein Kiel vs Energie Cottbus on Mar 5, 2016

How many goals should we expect?

Holstein Kiel score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Energie Cottbus score 1.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Holstein Kiel1.21.338/157/15
Energie Cottbus1.61.9211/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Holstein Kiel sit 18th in 2. Bundesliga (8 points from 11 matches) and Energie Cottbus sit 12th (11 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Energie Cottbus11254182011
18Holstein Kiel1115511148

A question about Holstein Kiel vs Energie Cottbus?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Holstein Kiel vs Energie Cottbus?
The Footlab AI model makes Holstein Kiel the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Energie Cottbus.
Where and when is Holstein Kiel vs Energie Cottbus played?
Holstein Kiel vs Energie Cottbus is played on May 15, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Holstein-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Holstein Kiel and Energie Cottbus