Where and when is Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Wolfsburg played?

Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Wolfsburg is played on May 15, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at SchücoArena, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Wolfsburg: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)SchücoArena, Bielefeld

Arminia Bielefeld

VfL Wolfsburg

The Footlab model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for VfL Wolfsburg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Wolfsburg?

A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Arminia Bielefeld (2,016) and VfL Wolfsburg (2,031).

Arminia Bielefeld win44 %

Draw25 %

VfL Wolfsburg win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arminia Bielefeld have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; VfL Wolfsburg have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arminia Bielefeld
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)	2-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Energie Cottbus(home)	3-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	Karlsruher SC(away)	1-2	2. Bundesliga
Jul 25, 2026	MSV Duisburg(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Bologna(away)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs

VfL Wolfsburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Altglienicke(away)	3-3	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Hannover 96(away)	1-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	1. FC Kaiserslautern(home)	0-0	2. Bundesliga
Jul 31, 2026	Telstar(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Lyon(home)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Arminia Bielefeld win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 VfL Wolfsburg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 9, 2022	VfL Wolfsburg 4-0 Arminia Bielefeld	Bundesliga
Nov 20, 2021	Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 VfL Wolfsburg	Bundesliga
Feb 19, 2021	Arminia Bielefeld 0-3 VfL Wolfsburg	Bundesliga
Oct 25, 2020	VfL Wolfsburg 2-1 Arminia Bielefeld	Bundesliga
Apr 29, 2015	Arminia Bielefeld 0-4 VfL Wolfsburg	DFB Pokal

Last archived meeting: VfL Wolfsburg vs Arminia Bielefeld on Apr 9, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Arminia Bielefeld score 2.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; VfL Wolfsburg score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Arminia Bielefeld	2.6	1.4	3	11/15	11/15
VfL Wolfsburg	1.7	1.1	5	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arminia Bielefeld sit 6th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and VfL Wolfsburg sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	VfL Wolfsburg	2	1	1	0	1	0	4
6	Arminia Bielefeld	2	1	0	1	4	2	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Wolfsburg?: The Footlab model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for VfL Wolfsburg.
Where and when is Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Wolfsburg played?: Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Wolfsburg is played on May 15, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at SchücoArena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.