Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Wolfsburg: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)SchücoArena, Bielefeld
The Footlab AI model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for VfL Wolfsburg. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arminia Bielefeld wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,761 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Wolfsburg?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Arminia Bielefeld (2,013) and VfL Wolfsburg (2,075).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Wolfsburg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arminia Bielefeld
4-1-4-1- 11J. Grodowski
- 21S. Russo
- 38M. Wörl
- 31L. Jensen
- 30I. Young
- 27Benjamin Bediako Boakye
- 5M. Bauer
- 19M. Großer
- 17A. Sicker
- 2F. Hagmann
- 1J. Kersken
VfL Wolfsburg
4-3-3- 11F. Reese
- 17A. Bernhardsson
- 19R. Glatzel
- 5Vinicius Souza
- 20M. Damar
- 31Y. Gerhardt
- 6H. Wahl
- 21J. Mæhle
- 33Cleiton
- 26S. Kumbedi
- 30J. Zieliński
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arminia Bielefeld have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; VfL Wolfsburg have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | VfL Osnabrück(home) | 2-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | VfL Bochum(away) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(home) | 2-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(away) | 1-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(home) | 3-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 10, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(away) | 4-4 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Havelse(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(home) | 5-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FC St. Pauli(away) | 0-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Arminia Bielefeld wins, 1 draw, 4 VfL Wolfsburg wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | VfL Wolfsburg 4-0 Arminia Bielefeld | Bundesliga |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga |
| Feb 19, 2021 | Arminia Bielefeld 0-3 VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga |
| Oct 25, 2020 | VfL Wolfsburg 2-1 Arminia Bielefeld | Bundesliga |
| Apr 29, 2015 | Arminia Bielefeld 0-4 VfL Wolfsburg | DFB Pokal |
Last archived meeting: VfL Wolfsburg vs Arminia Bielefeld on Apr 9, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Arminia Bielefeld score 2.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; VfL Wolfsburg score 2.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arminia Bielefeld | 2.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| VfL Wolfsburg | 2.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arminia Bielefeld sit 8th in 2. Bundesliga (11 points from 8 matches) and VfL Wolfsburg sit 3rd (15 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | VfL Wolfsburg | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 13 | 15 |
| 8 | Arminia Bielefeld | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
A question about Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Wolfsburg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Wolfsburg?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arminia Bielefeld the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for VfL Wolfsburg.
- Where and when is Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Wolfsburg played?
- Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Wolfsburg is played on May 15, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at SchücoArena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- May 15, 20271. FC MagdeburgvsVfL Bochum
- May 15, 2027Dynamo DresdenvsKarlsruher SC
- May 15, 2027Holstein KielvsEnergie Cottbus
- May 15, 2027Eintracht Braunschweigvs1. FC Heidenheim
- May 15, 20271. FC KaiserslauternvsHannover 96
- May 15, 2027VfL Osnabrückvs1. FC Nürnberg