Dynamo Dresden vs Karlsruher SC: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, Dresden
The Footlab model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Karlsruher SC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dynamo Dresden vs Karlsruher SC?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Dynamo Dresden (2,024) and Karlsruher SC (1,959).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dynamo Dresden have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Karlsruher SC have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Westfalia Rhynern(away) | 6-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(home) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(away) | 0-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Union Berlin(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Preußen Münster(away) | 2-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(away) | 0-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(home) | 2-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Inter(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dynamo Dresden win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Karlsruher SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Karlsruher SC 3-3 Dynamo Dresden | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Dynamo Dresden 3-3 Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| May 8, 2022 | Karlsruher SC 2-2 Dynamo Dresden | 2. Bundesliga |
| Dec 5, 2021 | Dynamo Dresden 3-1 Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jan 29, 2020 | Dynamo Dresden 1-0 Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 3, 2019 | Karlsruher SC 4-2 Dynamo Dresden | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Karlsruher SC vs Dynamo Dresden on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dynamo Dresden score 2.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Karlsruher SC score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Dresden | 2.8 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
| Karlsruher SC | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dynamo Dresden sit 11th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and Karlsruher SC sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Karlsruher SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Dynamo Dresden | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dynamo Dresden vs Karlsruher SC?
- The Footlab model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Karlsruher SC.
- Where and when is Dynamo Dresden vs Karlsruher SC played?
- Dynamo Dresden vs Karlsruher SC is played on May 15, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 15, 2027Hertha BSCvsFC St. Pauli
- May 15, 2027SpVgg Greuther FürthvsSV Darmstadt 98
- May 15, 20271. FC MagdeburgvsVfL Bochum
- May 15, 2027Arminia BielefeldvsVfL Wolfsburg
- May 15, 2027Holstein KielvsEnergie Cottbus
- May 15, 2027Eintracht Braunschweigvs1. FC Heidenheim
- May 15, 20271. FC KaiserslauternvsHannover 96
- May 15, 2027VfL Osnabrückvs1. FC Nürnberg