SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs SV Darmstadt 98: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth
The Footlab model makes SV Darmstadt 98 the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs SV Darmstadt 98?
SV Darmstadt 98 starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (2,007 vs 1,879).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; SV Darmstadt 98 have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | VfL Bochum(home) | 1-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(home) | 2-4 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC St. Pauli(away) | 1-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | FC Zurich(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Eintracht Bamberg(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away) | 2-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden(away) | 0-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Holstein Kiel(home) | 2-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 7-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 SV Darmstadt 98 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3-2 SV Darmstadt 98 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Nov 22, 2025 | SV Darmstadt 98 4-2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2. Bundesliga |
| Apr 5, 2025 | SV Darmstadt 98 1-0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2. Bundesliga |
| Nov 2, 2024 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-5 SV Darmstadt 98 | 2. Bundesliga |
| May 28, 2023 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 4-0 SV Darmstadt 98 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Nov 13, 2022 | SV Darmstadt 98 1-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs SV Darmstadt 98 on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; SV Darmstadt 98 score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| SV Darmstadt 98 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 16th in 2. Bundesliga (1 points from 2 matches) and SV Darmstadt 98 sit 15th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs SV Darmstadt 98?
- The Footlab model makes SV Darmstadt 98 the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
- Where and when is SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs SV Darmstadt 98 played?
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs SV Darmstadt 98 is played on May 15, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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